Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $83B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 1 click

Oct 31 VRRM $505M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

From X

@StableBread Oct 28 1 click

Fajasy on X

On the no-equity point, $BRUN said Oct 26 it's closed more than $600M of non-dilutive project financing so far in 2026. Tho H2 alone needs ~$527-686M, so the mid-November Q3 report is the first check on whether it covers the build. And the July order plus Cohere add $160.7M/year starting 2027.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 28

Brian McGough on X

$BOOT is taking up store adds by 10-15% for '27, but is taking DOWN revenue forecast. Can anyone with half a brain convince me that this is a positive development? Never ends well...

@DOMOCAPITAL Oct 28

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

You heard it here first... what a huge earnings beat for $PBI "Specifically, we added more than 30 new clients, representing an estimated two billion pieces of annual volume, as a result of this exit" https://t.co/uyMhmLTrHi

@valuedontlie Oct 28

Colin King on X

$GEN might actually be a pretty good business https://t.co/5dQEvZFVwa https://t.co/ewNvBnvYV7

@stockgutter Oct 28

SG on X

Who is still short $HTZ at these prices, at this time of year, and at this borrow rate? Seems a recipe for disaster. For shits and giggles, I bought a chunk. I think they get a bit squeezy for the reasons @DeepSailCapital has outlined. Will probably cover with options, and of course did this in an account with a fully-paid secured lending program.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 28

Brian McGough on X

$CVNA looks like it's sacrificing loan monetization to drive units. This is a very slippery slope my friends. We've been short this, and 100% wrong, to be transparent and accountable. But the fundamental story looks like its starting to show signs of erosion on the margin.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 28

Brian McGough on X

We've been short $BOOT for the last $80 in downside. I think the stock still gets cut in half from here. Terrible trends this quarter -- squarely decelerating across the board into 3Q. E-comm SSS turned negative in Oct. In what world should ecomm EVER be negative? This company is signing below market rents and is overearning massively. Incremental ROIC looks deathly...

@absreturnchaser Oct 28

absreturnchaser on X

@essential6t7 @ChopraUSA Buyside more focused on $WU taken over by now. Was said they launched sale process post-bid. Think market still underestimating buyout odds, add to that high SI.

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $16B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $22B

Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $88B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $84B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $67B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.9B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

LITE $83B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.6B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held

Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…

DX $2.8BRITM $5.2B

Benjamin C. Barry Oct 30

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.2B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’

Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.

TWLO $31B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 2 clicks

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

One Stop Systems grew Q3 continuing-operations revenue 36% to $12.6 million, raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $45 million, and used $11.8…

OSS $129M

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 1 click

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $12B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Fajasy on X

Brian McGough on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Colin King on X

SG on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

absreturnchaser on X

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