Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $62B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 1 click

Oct 31 VRRM $404M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Oct 31 2 clicks

David Orr on X

Even in that case, the stock could do well for many years because earnings growth drives the return. But since it's now crowded, the risk:reward is completely different. $SFM sold more than it would have if it was uncrowded. If hypothetically it was extremey uncrowded, it might not have sold too hard at all. Normally I avoid crowded stocks like that, but that one seemed lower risk ... whoops!

@partners_road Oct 31 1 click

RiverRoadPartners on X

2 wks into Q3 earnings, at least 4 semis flagged back-end constraints ($TXN, $ALGM, $PI, $NXPI), 2 noted customer push outs ($ALGM, $TER), $INTC noted higher memory prices caused demand destruction in PC’s & $LRCX couldn’t guide for upside b/c of a specialty component shortage.

@orrdavid Oct 31 1 click

David Orr on X

@JackFarley96 When $NVDA finally has its big double miss, $SOXX probably drops 25% in a day or two.

@calvinblissett Oct 31

Calvin Blissett on X

$TZOO. Something happened after I posted this. For the second time someone intelligent reached out sharing their thoughts and insists. They were one of the only people to speak to the CEO in the past year. I’d never looked too deeply but it’s been on Joel Greenblatt magic formula for years now. They underwent a significant business model change. I can attest to the value proposition personally because recently I traveled somewhere where they posted a very popular (very good value) deal. AI is not as much of a threat as it may seem and actually is more likely to be a tailwind which I explain. The business model grew through 2008 so I’m not overly concerned about recession risk, and their reports show that 74% of their affluent travel loving customer base would cut travel last. I think the stock can 4x. It reminds me of $BMBL sentiment and accounting wise. Writeup tommrow

@leevalueroach Oct 31 1 click

Lee Roach on X

I went to five different GameStop $GME stores today. Each store got Halloween Pokemon cards and if you came in and said trick-or-treat you got a free pack. All were out of inventory by the mid-morning. One store associate said Pokemon is still insanely hot and all of the cards were taken by adults and not a single kid got one. Wall Street is sleeping on the GameStop turnaround.

@blondesnmoney Oct 31 3 clicks

Cluseau Investments on X

How life feels once you go 85% $RSP 15% $BOXX and check your brokerage account once a month https://t.co/MeMabOtTMX

@TidefallCapital Oct 31 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@DrewCohenMoney Not short but $APP is reliant on Apple and Google yet also competes with them with high margin ads. App has already been investigated by the SEC and state attorneys, the platforms could take some trivial data misstep & shut it down in the name of privacy and steal the economics.

@leevalueroach Oct 31 1 click

Lee Roach on X

@rubicon59 Would love to chat on $APP and various other DSPs. DM if you are open to it.

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $20B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $22B

Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $88B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

LITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.2B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

EGO · long

Eldorado Gold CORP

Eldorado Gold (EGO) is a long-life gold and copper miner with a rare growth profile across precious and base metals.

EGO $8B

Value Investors Club Jun 1 3 clicks

The $FTAI Report Cost Me a Fortune. The $APP Report Taught Me a Lesson

A custom AI agent monitors Muddy Waters reports, calls investors with target tickers, and pairs fast alerts with filing-based checks of…

FTAI $20BAPP $80B

Singularity Research Apr 17 2 clicks

Our Q1 2026 Letter & Look Ahead: Oil, Iran, OXY & PTON

Open Square Capital’s Q1 2026 letter discusses the oil market, Iran, Occidental Petroleum and Peloton.

OXY $64BPTON $2.4B

Open Insights Apr 17

Defying the Surveys

PNC CEO Bill Demchak says consumer spending, savings, activity and loan growth contradict record-low University of Michigan consumer…

PNC $92B

Net Interest Apr 17

Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL

Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…

POOL $7.7B

Bearhold Research Apr 17 2 clicks

Forgive me Father, I have Sabled.

Sable Offshore restarted Santa Ynez oil flows under a Defense Production Act order, targeting 50,000 barrels daily and a path to 60,000…

SOC $472M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Apr 16 3 clicks

Hilton Grand Vacations ($HGV): 17 Years of Inventory on Hand That No One Is Questioning

Hilton Grand Vacations faces scrutiny over 17 years of inventory on hand, with the thesis calling for a short position.

HGV $3B

Shallow Dives Apr 15

Mention Market Analysis: Truist Financial

Truist Financial’s April 17 call is forecast to feature “tailwind” in NIM and asset-repricing discussions, with the 51-cent Kalshi contract…

TFC $59B

First Strike Research Apr 14

Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?

Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…

GIS $18BCAG $7.1B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Apr 13 1 click

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $16B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 1 click

Saturday, October 31, 2026

David Orr on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

David Orr on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Lee Roach on X

Cluseau Investments on X

Trevor Scott on X

Lee Roach on X

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