Friday, October 30, 2026

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.9T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 5 clicks

Oct 30 CVX $423B

CVX Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

Oct 30 AZN $285B

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Oct 7 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

Tomorrow’s @GeoInvesting Open Forum is going to be a good one … Topics include: $PPIH $SIF $FEIM $IEHC $OCC $LEAT $BUKS $PXHI https://t.co/9uSE1PY6Le https://t.co/2ufzLyHqXX

@leevalueroach Oct 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

A leaked GameStop $GME memo has used PlayStations trading 50% higher than MSRP because of GTA release. GameStop about to print money into the end of the year. https://t.co/niu0IXZytS

@AsifSuria Oct 7

Asif Suria on X

@_99Paul99 I've been patiently waiting for it. Hopefully a deal for $LION comes in high enough to satisfy Feltheimer, Mnuchin and Rachesky.

@AsifSuria Oct 7

Asif Suria on X

What a powerhouse. Almost makes me wish Netflix $NFLX had succeeded in closing this deal. It will be interesting to see the trajectory of Skydance's $SKYD net debt on the balance sheet over time. While David Zazlav and Warner Bros. Discovery $WBD were criticized a lot for creating a highly leveraged behemoth, they had been consistently paying down that debt:

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 7

Farmer on X

$FTSL borrow is down to 1.3%. ChatGPT estimates half of their 50 largest loans are to companies with negative earnings.

@convequity Oct 7 2 clicks

Convequity on X

More $NVDA chips could end up going to SpaceX and other buyers that can borrow at investment-grade rates, leaving neoclouds with fewer chips than they need. SpaceX's planned $40bn chip borrowing shows why. The deal: $SPCX is in early talks for about $10bn of bank loans and $30bn of investment-grade debt, led by Apollo, with Pimco also in talks. It would close in 2027, and the talks could still fall apart. The comparison: in December, Apollo lent about $3.5bn to fund xAI's Colossus 2 chips through a separate company set up just for that deal. The interest rate was about 10% a year. xAI is now part of SpaceX. Investment-grade debt usually costs much less. US investment-grade corporate bonds yield around 6% on average today. The rate on the new $30bn has not been reported, so we don't know the exact saving yet. Why it could be cheaper: lenders would be relying on SpaceX's launch and Starlink businesses to repay, not only on the chips. That is the real financial payoff of putting xAI inside SpaceX. Most GPU buyers can't borrow like that. $CRWV is rated junk (Moody's Ba3, Fitch BB-) and pays 9.25% on its 2030 bonds. Standalone AI labs have no public credit ratings that we could find. Not every neocloud pays up. $NBIS has a GPU loan at a floating benchmark rate plus 2.5%, against CoreWeave's plus 5.5%. Our view: the debate on X is whether this proves AI demand or shows too much leverage. We think the bigger point is cost of capital. When chips are scarce, the buyer that borrows most cheaply can pay for the most of them, and neoclouds paying junk-level rates get squeezed out.

@negligible_cap Oct 7

Negligible Capital on X

What's wrong with $BSP ? https://t.co/XXaB7KnW0R

@KEDM_COM Oct 7 1 click

KEDM.com on X

Teleflex $TFX closed the $1.5bn sale of its OEM business to Montagu and Kohlberg, with the deal delivering ~$1.25bn after-tax, and Teleflex paying down $800m of debt and advancing its $1bn buyback (now ~17% of market cap). They bought back $250m worth of shares in the last quarter, and you can expect them to continue this pace over the next few quarters.

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $114B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $729B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks

Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…

AMZN $2.9T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 30 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years

Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.

GOOGL $3.4T

Rick Orford Oct 30 5 clicks

Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.

AMZN $2.9TLLY $1.3T

Rebound Capital Oct 30 2 clicks

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $25B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation

Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…

GOOGL $3.4T

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 30 3 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $101B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

XOM Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating - No Paywall.

ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue rose 33% to $113.2 billion as refining earned $9.1 billion, surpassing upstream; the company set 2027 buybacks at…

XOM $689B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…

AMZN $2.9T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Smart Fit: Global Fitness Ambitions (Ticker: SMFT3)

Smart Fit, Brazil’s SMFT3, is expanding its low-cost gym network across Latin America, with corporate-wellness platform TotalPass adding to…

ESMR $1.9M

Emerging Moats Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Amazon - Q3 2026 Earnings Brief & Return

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39.3% to $46 billion, backed by a $578 billion backlog, while 2026 capex targets $220 billion and estimated…

AMZN $2.9T

Modern Value Investing Oct 30 2 clicks

SAP · long

Sap Se

SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.

SAP $271B

Value Investors Club Aug 1 2 clicks

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.4B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…

INTC $348B

Irrational Analysis Oct 29 2 clicks

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Friday, October 30, 2026

Maj Soueidan on X

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