Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Barbarian Capital on X
"higher sales and recent cost-savings efforts weren’t able to fully offset steeper-than-expected inflation." $NWL Newell Brands Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales https://t.co/WPRdY3lzz3
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $29BIQV $45B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $130BLUV $21B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.1BAAP $2.8B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.8BAMZN $2.6T
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BAVOL $8.3B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $15BGOOGL $4T
- Fairtree Asset Management Q3 2026 SSL $11B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $565MGDOT $703M
SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain
SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…
Adam Schadt 2 clicks
Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
DLTR · long Dollar Tree INC
Dollar Tree is long after divesting Family Dollar, separating its stronger banner from its weaker business.
This Week in Special Situations: Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus, GM
Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus and GM anchor a 34-case survey of activism, buybacks, M&A and strategic reviews, led by Starboard’s…
4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations
Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)
Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…
Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails
Diageo expects Gen Z cocktail demand, completed restructuring and margin recovery to lift net income from $1.7 billion in 2026 to $4.6…
PropNotes 7 clicks
Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand
Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…
Sea Limited (SE) Sea Cloud and Monee IPO
Sea Limited plans Sea Cloud and a Monee IPO, using 40-plus data centers and 25,000 GPUs while risking heavier capex and prolonged thin…
Meta 3Q26 Business Update: Not Just an Ads Business?
Meta’s 3Q26 Family of Apps revenue rose 26% as Muse reached 10 million users, testing AI-agent shopping that Walmart permits while Amazon…
The growth problem at Tesla, and other lackluster earnings reactions
Tesla’s growth problem joins a muted market response to early earnings reports.
Strategy: I Called The STRC Repeg, Now The Bitcoin Machine Can Restart
Strategy spent $1.84 billion repurchasing STRC below $100, bringing it near par and potentially reopening a preferred-share issuance…
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