Friday, October 30, 2026

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.6T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 5 clicks

Oct 30 CVX $465B

CVX Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

Oct 30 AZN $270B

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Feel too smart today, took some profits on my $CRWV puts I have a rule that: If I feel too smart, I have to take chips off the table If I feel too dumb, I have to buy https://t.co/jecP6zhYT3

@AsifSuria Oct 22 2 clicks

Asif Suria on X

This is a positive development in the right direction for Mattel $MAT It was also good to see this at the heels of Hasbro's $HAS strong earnings this week https://t.co/X6gYlKpmFM https://t.co/UBY85cb3SR

@BlueDuckCap Oct 22 1 click

BDC on X

@srg444 bullish scenario on $MRNA is ~$50-60 / share. So yeah - more than cut in half.

@SouthernValue95 Oct 22 1 click

SouthernValue on X

Absent the very odd 8k, $META results were strong. - 26% revenue growth - Guided to ~150bp acceleration in 4Q at the midpoint - 10M muse accounts, 15M Meta One, and both are in infancy and mostly just rolled to North America. 92% of META users are outside NA - Committed to bring down FRL losses and trend towards profitability over time Stock is trading at a low-mid teens multiple of ex-Muse/FRL earnings and ~19x EPS fully capitalizing those investments. Without the cap raise 8k, the stock would be up. If we assume they might raise $100B, with 0 ROIC on the invested proceeds, maybe the equity raise has a max negative value of -6% in the most punitive scenario. Think the underlying results were strong enough to offset and stock has overreacted.

@P_Remarks Oct 22 1 click

Prepared Remarks on X

$orcl https://t.co/69mBa56bZE

@aleabitoreddit Oct 22 1 click

Serenity on X

I feel like markets are seeing a lot of forced liquidations and panic selling right now. You have peers like $LITE sold out completely into 2029, and are starting negotiations for 2030. So seeing a company like $AAOI now worth $5.7B despite all their laser/transceiver/ELSFP capacity coming online + demand visibility reminds me of July

@leevalueroach Oct 22

Lee Roach on X

It is so hilarious how $META is raising equity to not only pump more money into failing Muse but also so Zuckerberg can pay his tax bill in California. Socializing Zuck's tax bill from common shareholders is so funny. I have never even seen this kind of move from some of the worst shitcos in microcap land. What a hilarious thing. Growth investors are so funny.

@stockgutter Oct 22

SG on X

two names I like that benefit from a decline in 10-year: $MRP Millrose Properties - two angles here. First, its high dividend looks even better when the risk-free rate declines. Second, it finances land for homebuilders so has upside from any improvement in that sector. $RKT Rocket Companies - largest nonbank mortgage lender will be a survivor as competitors like UWM flounder I own both. May add.

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $108B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $806B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $67B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks

Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…

AMZN $2.6T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 30 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years

Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.

GOOGL $4T

Rick Orford Oct 30 5 clicks

Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.

AMZN $2.6TLLY $1.3T

Rebound Capital Oct 30 2 clicks

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation

Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…

GOOGL $4T

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 30 3 clicks

Applied Materials: A 51% Growth Quarter At 23x Forward Earnings

Applied Materials posted 51% growth while trading near 23 times forward earnings; memory spending and fab construction support orders, but…

AMAT $310B

Capital Minded Oct 30 1 click

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $84B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

XOM Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating - No Paywall.

ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue rose 33% to $113.2 billion as refining earned $9.1 billion, surpassing upstream; the company set 2027 buybacks at…

XOM $771B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…

AMZN $2.6T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Amazon - Q3 2026 Earnings Brief & Return

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39.3% to $46 billion, backed by a $578 billion backlog, while 2026 capex targets $220 billion and estimated…

AMZN $2.6T

Modern Value Investing Oct 30 2 clicks

SAP · long

Sap Se

SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.

SAP $271B

Value Investors Club Aug 1 2 clicks

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…

INTC $348B

Irrational Analysis Oct 29 2 clicks

Bloody Thursday: Defending Alphabet, now Amazon and Intel in the penalty box

Alphabet, Amazon and Intel face market pressure as the big three cloud giants reaffirm AI spending plans.

GOOGL $4TAMZN $2.6T

The Technology Letter Oct 29 1 click

Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’

Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.

TWLO $31B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 2 clicks

Friday, October 30, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Asif Suria on X

BDC on X

SouthernValue on X

Prepared Remarks on X

Serenity on X

Lee Roach on X

SG on X

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