Friday, October 30, 2026

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $327M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Oct 29 OSS $169M

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

Oct 29 BBW $327M

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Cassandra Unchained 1 click

From X

@gnoble79 Oct 30

George Noble on X

SHORT $OKLO SHORT $CRWV SHORT $ALAB ALL GARBAGE https://t.co/95dcdvQsly

@leevalueroach Oct 30

Lee Roach on X

Harley-Davidson $HOG is one of the best performing stocks this year. Read the comments here. I got so much shit for being a Hog bull. Now everyone is excited about it. Time to find something else hated. https://t.co/LP8nuDpeHa https://t.co/BR4o2WHoLQ

@StableBread Oct 30

Fajasy on X

On October 2, 2026, Seagate $STX and Western Digital $WDC each fell 10.2%, while Quantum $QMCO rose 8.2% to its $34.50 peak. $QMCO’s drop started the week before it fired its CFO on October 9, along with a selloff in hard drive stocks. Toshiba, which makes hard drives like $STX and $WDC, said on October 2 that its Philippine plant is “aiming to nearly double its annual production capacity” of data center hard drives by its fiscal year starting April 2027. More hard drive supply could (1) hurt $QMCO by easing the disk shortage that helped push customers toward tape, as I covered in my April 22 tape primer, and (2) help $QMCO by easing the constraints on “certain disk drives” that CEO Hugues Meyrath mentioned on the June-quarter call. From October 2 to October 9, $QMCO fell 11.8%, vs. 4.3-8.0% for SanDisk $SNDK, $STX, and $WDC. Then, from the October 9 close, before the firing was disclosed, to October 27, $QMCO fell another 33.4%, vs. 4.1-17.5% for the three storage stocks. So the storage selloff explains part of the drop from $34.50, but most of it came after the firing, which is specific to $QMCO.

@DOMOCAPITAL Oct 30

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

One of the reasons that Brazil started to take a lot of the ethanol export volume was a sharp appreciation in the Brazilian Real which leads Brazilian producers to favor ethanol vs sugar production. The sharp depreciation in the Real following the election will reverse this and lead to greater sugar production moving forward. Very bullish for $ALTO and $GPRE.

@pennycheck Oct 30

⚽️📡 on X

. @tickerplus data ftw $ospn https://t.co/3FVL46nKgB

@DOMOCAPITAL Oct 30

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$GPRE https://t.co/nB665X2SfA Wow - that's a ton of cash for a company with a $955M market cap......... current valuation makes no sense.

@TidefallCapital Oct 30

Trevor Scott on X

@ACapitalLP should $MGM not pay down a little more debt? Diller just running the Malone playbook here.

@kab604 Oct 30

kab60 on X

"The current environment strongly favors allocating capital toward share repurchases and as such we have secured Board authorization for an additional $1 billion in share repurchases" $AN up pre-market, $GPI and $ABG up biggly since the lows... These things shouldn't trade ~7x

Smart Fit: Global Fitness Ambitions (Ticker: SMFT3)

Smart Fit, Brazil’s SMFT3, is expanding its low-cost gym network across Latin America, with corporate-wellness platform TotalPass adding to…

ESMR $1.9M

Emerging Moats Research Oct 30 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3BWGO $842M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 2 clicks

Duos Technologies Pivot To Data Center Pods Is Gaining Traction

Duos Technologies, DUOT, has shifted to modular edge data center pods, with Q2 revenue up 30% to $6.18 million and FY27 revenue guided…

DUOT $195M

Shareholders Unite Oct 29 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $913M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…

ARE $7.1B

Luuk Wierenga Oct 28

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality

Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…

XHR $1.9B

Albert Anthony Oct 28 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.6B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

RYZ · long

Ryerson Holding CORP

Ryerson Holding (RYZ) is a long position following its all-stock merger with Olympic Steel, at 1.7105 RYZ shares per Olympic Steel share.

RYZ $1.5B

Value Investors Club Aug 1

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.2B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

FRMI $1.9B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…

INTR $1.8B

Calvin Blissett Oct 26 38 clicks

Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever

Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…

BBW $327M

Rafa F. Oliver, CFA Oct 26 4 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $6.4B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $709M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.1BINTR $1.8B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Friday, October 30, 2026

George Noble on X

Lee Roach on X

Fajasy on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

⚽️📡 on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Trevor Scott on X

kab60 on X

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