Friday, October 30, 2026

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $363M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Oct 29 BBW $363M

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Cassandra Unchained 2 clicks

Oct 29 MAT $4.4B

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Latticework by MOI Global 3 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Oct 30

Barbarian Capital on X

"higher sales and recent cost-savings efforts weren’t able to fully offset steeper-than-expected inflation." $NWL Newell Brands Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales https://t.co/WPRdY3lzz3

@StableBread Oct 30

Fajasy on X

Id say the cash has to cover building v5 too, not just getting it to work. Hurst told the Portland Business Journal in August that RoboFab is making fewer than 100 a year and should reach triple digits in 2027. The S-4 also admits they don't have the capacity, staff or equipment for high volume yet. free $CCXI writeup: https://t.co/DsEJ2d9TkU

@StableBread Oct 30 1 click

Fajasy on X

@Teo_Sinamin And $ELMT isn't betting on Vietnam alone. It holds 23.7M shares of $EQR.AX, which runs Mt. Carbine in Australia and Barruecopardo in Spain, and takes 70% of the JV restarting the Springer APT plant in Nevada, 4,000 tonnes a year in phase one.

@StableBread Oct 30 1 click

Fajasy on X

That $465M is more than the $395.8M of gross equity Agility raised in its whole history through 2025. And it'll need it, the S-4 says all $300M of v5 orders are RaaS, so Agility carries every one of those robots on its own balance sheet. free $CCXI writeup: https://t.co/DsEJ2d9TkU

@cfrischer1 Oct 30 1 click

Charles Frischer on X

$OMER The company just issued 500k shares to the CEO. The grants are four 125k tranches. They vest at $25, $30, $35 and $40 over the next five years. I love seeing this type of incentive structure and wish more companies did it this way. At $40, shares have to be up 120%.

@cfrischer1 Oct 30 1 click

Charles Frischer on X

$OMER I don't think any CEO would accept this type of compensation structure unless they had extremely strong conviction of hitting these targets. I think the CEO knows he will likely hit them based upon the information the company already has about Yartemlia sales. https://t.co/O6Z2Nc1wmx

@convequity Oct 30

Convequity on X

Spirit's data auction shows what office AI is missing. Google ($GOOGL) opened at $5m and was selected at $10m for Spirit Airlines' internal data in August. Mercor was the $7.5m backup. Then micro1 proposed $12.5m. The sale still awaits court approval, with a hearing scheduled for November 6. The material includes emails, Teams conversations and business records. Google's counsel confirmed that it wants the data for AI training. I think this competition for records of real work will keep pushing up the value of enterprise data. This fits our earlier argument about why coding agents advanced faster than office automation. Coding has public repositories and tests that provide fast feedback. In office work, the context behind a decision is often scattered across private documents and conversations. Knowing how to use a spreadsheet is only part of the job. Knowing why an exception was approved, and what happened afterward, is much harder to learn from the public internet. My read is that Google is preparing for that gap. Internal records could help models learn how work moves through an organization, provided those records can be turned into tasks with outcomes that can be checked. Also it remains an open opportunity for $MNDY https://t.co/Rmzyg6DE0y, and other AI-native productivity startups to tacle. Gemini 4 Carbon already leads Artificial Analysis' AutomationBench-AA, which tests simulated workflows across business applications. Google is competitive in the kind of work this data could help models learn. Anthropic's IPO filing also puts adoption in perspective. As of September, over 50% of the Fortune 500 generated at least $100,000 each in trailing-year revenue for Anthropic. Among the publicly listed customers in that group, spending on Anthropic averaged under 0.1% of total expenses in 3Q26. We still think enterprise AI is falling short on office automation. Having access to a model tells us little about how much work a company can delegate to it. I find Google's enterprise opportunity more compelling over time than Meta's emphasis on personal AI. Google already has Workspace and Cloud as routes to customers. If better training on real work makes its models reliable enough to complete office tasks, it has a way to sell that capability. The unlock still requires models that can carry a task through the office environment with limited supervision. That remains some distance away. I think acquiring real work histories now could be a fruitful long-term bet for Google.

@irbezek Oct 30

Ian Bezek on X

@jclarkson203 $soxx is up 54% past 12 months, maybe wait for a dip.

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $7.7B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $913M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…

ARE $7.1B

Luuk Wierenga Oct 28

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality

Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…

XHR $1.9B

Albert Anthony Oct 28 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.6B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9BFRMI $1.9B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

LZ · long

Legalzoom.com INC

LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.

LZ $1.2B

Value Investors Club Jun 9

Haw Par Corporation Limited

Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.

HAWPY $2.9B

smallvalue. Dec 17 4 clicks

The Costco of Flooring ($FND)

Floor & Decor operates 262 warehouse-format flooring stores, pairing broad in-stock hard-surface selection with design services as it gains…

FND $5.4B

D Invests Dec 13

Hemnet – Broken Moat or Misunderstood Monopoly?

Hemnet’s Swedish listings monopoly has fallen from SEK420 to about SEK160 as growth slows, leaving investors to judge whether its 90% share…

HMNTY $651M

Bristlemoon Capital Dec 8

Movie Theaters Risk and Opportunities; Netflix/WBD Deal; Is Disney Cheap?

Netflix’s Warner Bros. Discovery bid pushed Cinemark down 25% in two weeks, raising concerns that Warner Bros.

CNK $4.5B

Base Hit Investing Dec 8

Portfolio Update November 2025

Portfolio gained 0.6% in November and 22.9% in 2025, adding Floor & Decor and Copart while exiting West Pharmaceutical, Kraft Heinz, Novo…

FND $5.4B

D Invests Dec 2

National Beverage Update

National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.

FIZZ $3.3B

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Nov 25 3 clicks

FrontView REIT Investment Update

FrontView REIT remains discounted to estimated NAV after a 25% gain, while 19 asset sales at 6.8% cap rates and 98% occupancy support…

FVR $457M

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 19

[$MNDY] Monday.com

Monday.com combines work management, CRM, Dev and Service on a flexible core platform, with 90% gross margins and AI disruption risk…

MNDY $3.9B

Lewistown Capital Nov 19

The Priority Technology Situation

Priority Technology received an opportunistic buyout proposal, with its business better suited to remaining public absent a much higher…

PRTH $653M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Nov 11 5 clicks

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

129 publications

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 69 of 270

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

91 accounts

Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

190 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.

Friday, October 30, 2026

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

Fajasy on X

Fajasy on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

Convequity on X

Ian Bezek on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 69 of 270

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors