Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@TimelessArie Ticker is $INVH for those curious

@negligible_cap Oct 29

Negligible Capital on X

Thats cool $GOOG shareholders lost around $500B today https://t.co/ejv9K0CnIy

@ChrisCamillo Oct 29

Chris Camillo on X

I’ve never been my personal brand. $AMZN is too significant a holding for me not to share meaningful trading decisions with my followers. But the real value isn’t in the trade. It’s in understanding the rationale behind it which was outlined by posts and on today’s @DumbMoneyTV. That’s how people learn.

@BarbarianCap Oct 29

Barbarian Capital on X

Roblox Narrows Loss as User, Engagement Metrics Fall The video-game company said average daily users were down 9% to 138 million, and engagement hours fell 15% to 34 billion. $RBLX https://t.co/KQM4qbpsbd

@ACapitalLP Oct 29

A Capital on X

$FSLR interesting here at ~7–8x 2027 earnings with 44GW of contracted backlog. Q3 bookings at ~$0.36/W were largely negotiated pre-232, while management is already quoting higher prices on new business. Think the first meaningful post-232 contracts will be particularly informative as to normalized earnings power and ultimately where this should trade…

@convequity Oct 29 1 click

Convequity on X

We wouldn’t be surprised to see GPU rental revenue reach $100bn per gigawatt a year. Nebius ($NBIS) has already reported a short-term deal in the $40m–$50m per MW annualised range. That is $40bn–$50bn per GW. Likewise for Space $SPCX and others while $CRWV sold its long term capacity too early at low prices. Use 660,000 Blackwell GPUs as a simplified 1GW case. With every GPU-hour rented: • $50bn a year = $8.65 per GPU-hour. • $100bn a year = $17.30 per GPU-hour. DeepSeek reports $38 of API revenue per GPU-hour at off-peak prices for a V4.1 Flash cluster. Peak tariffs are double. Serving the same workload at those prices would imply $76 per GPU-hour. For an inference provider that can reproduce those economics on rented hardware, a move from $5–$6 rent to $9 can still be affordable. Even roughly $18 need not make the service uneconomic. Suppose another provider achieves 70% of that $38–$76 revenue benchmark across its rented GPU-hours. That gives $26.60–$53.20 of revenue per hour. After $18 of GPU rent, $8.60–$35.20 remains for other costs and profit. The condition is matching DeepSeek’s serving efficiency on the rented hardware and sustaining paid demand at those token prices. Releasing the inference code does not guarantee either. For operators that can do this, we think there is room to keep bidding up scarce GPU capacity, even at twice today’s roughly $9 hourly rate.

@finphysnerd Oct 29

Myles on X

Rough day to have large positions in $AMZN and $RDDT. Comfortable holding Amazon. Am out of Reddit.

@irbezek Oct 29

Ian Bezek on X

@ClarkSquareCap And arguably more importantly for $ALSEA it's a signal to other American brands to use their services when they want to open in Mexico as well. People were saying opening $CMG in Mexico was like selling sand in the Sahara. And yet they did it.

Alphabet: Why I'm Buying The Free Cash Flow Scare

Alphabet's EPS miss came from a SpaceX stake loss, while 24.7% revenue growth and a $561 billion Cloud backlog counter free cash flow…

GOOGL $3.4T

Cain Lee Oct 29 1 click

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet 3Q’26: Search Worries Weighing In

Alphabet’s Search growth slowed to 12% as Cloud revenue more than doubled, while quarterly free cash flow stayed negative amid the capex…

GOOGL $3.4T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet Inc Earnings Update: Fiscal Q1 2027

Alphabet reported $127.6 billion in revenue, up 25%, as Google Cloud doubled to $30.7 billion and 36.2% margins.

GOOGL $3.4T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 29 1 click

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $12B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.9T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 6 clicks

KMI 2026-08-26

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

Kinder Morgan raised 2026 guidance after record Q2 results, supported by a $9.6 billion backlog and growing U.S.

KMI $75B

Steven Fiorillo Aug 26 1 click

Company Deep Dive: Chevron

Chevron, one of the global oil and gas supermajors, is examined as an integrated American energy company.

CVX $465B

Doomberg Aug 26

CBRS 2026-08-26

Sizing Up Cerebras Systems: Why Its Latency Moat Makes It A Buy For Aggressive Growth Investors

Cerebras’ CS-4 wafer-scale chips target latency-sensitive AI inference, but Nvidia’s ecosystem, manufacturing yields and KV-cache…

CBRS $24B

Star Investments Aug 26 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. L

Wolfspeed, Nordson and Nucor target AI data-center demand through 800-VDC power, chip testing equipment and domestic steel capacity, aided…

NDSN $18BNUE $62B

Monte Independent Investment Research Aug 26

ANET · long

Arista Networks INC

Arista Networks, at about $150 per share, is a $190 billion data-center networking franchise generating $9.7 billion of LTM revenue with…

ANET $231B

Value Investors Club May 28 4 clicks

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.9T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 3 clicks

A read into Nebius' Q2 Earning Report

Nebius' Q2 earnings review assesses AI cloud economics, Nvidia dependency and its route to profitability.

NBIS $42B

Kakashii's Materials Aug 25 1 click

OpenAI Jalapeño: Better Than Nvidia Blackwell

OpenAI’s Jalapeño inference ASIC beat Nvidia Blackwell on claimed performance per watt in InferenceX tests, using HBM4 and a…

NVDA $5T

SemiAnalysis Aug 25

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Negligible Capital on X

Chris Camillo on X

Barbarian Capital on X

A Capital on X

Convequity on X

Myles on X

Ian Bezek on X

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