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Thursday, October 29, 2026

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Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks

From X

@calvinblissett

Calvin Blissett on X

$CCLD crazy important earnings. Questions and things to monitor: new AI products, cybersecurity any and all information (loss of sales momentum, loss of current clients, still covered by insurance, lawsuits), why no acquisitions, are they still focused on acquisitions or spending more time developing AI products, is the person leading the AI strategy fit to lead it? At what point are buybacks considered despite the phenomenal ROI from acquisition.
@gnoble79

George Noble on X

Attention $OPEN army. I could not have been any more explicit and persistent in urging you to sell your $OPEN at 8 one year ago. You did not listen. Instead I was met with profane invective. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. It is indeed. The ridicule was loud. The analysis was weak. The result was decisive. Some arguments are best settled by the scoreboard. The media is complicit for promoting this garbage. The Noble Update has generated a long/short spread of 63% from selecting longs and shorts over the last year. I Check it out. You want performance? We got this. @natbrunell @philrosenn @APompliano @ericjackson @rabois @MebFaber @dayetweets @MarkNeuman18 @nejatian @piovincenzo_ @MollySOShea @shaneparrish @JonErlichman @Mindset4Money_X @cvpayne @SaraEisen @carlquintanilla @michaelsantoli @jonathanrstern
@StableBread 2 clicks

Fajasy on X

I tried to work out who’s behind the AI data labeling companies that approached Nubeva Technologies $NBVAF (TSXV: $NBVA). CEO Randy Chou didn’t name the data labeling companies (firms that turn experts’ knowledge into training data for AI labs) or the customers behind them. “If a data labeling company’s coming to us, somebody behind them is asking,” Chou said, adding that the customer typically isn’t limited to cybersecurity companies. OpenAI is one potential candidate, since my previous write-up concluded that the frontier model Nubeva got access to in September was most likely OpenAI’s, through its Daybreak program for vetted defenders. OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, the day Nubeva announced its access. It’s the first model OpenAI rated Critical for cybersecurity capability. But access to OpenAI’s model wouldn’t prove OpenAI is also behind the data labeling companies, since any lab building cyber models could want labeled malware. Among data labeling companies, three of the largest are publicly recruiting or selling binary analysis expertise, the skill of figuring out what malware programs do: → Scale AI: Its product manager posting calls the cybersecurity portfolio “a product line that does not exist yet” and says the hire will recruit “malware analysts.” → Turing: Sells CyberBench, security tasks for training and testing frontier models, with malware analysis and reverse engineering among its ten categories. TechCrunch called Turing “a key coding provider for OpenAI” in March 2025. → Mercor: Recruits security experts, preferring reverse engineering or binary analysis backgrounds, and counts OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta $META as customers. OpenAI cut ties with Scale in June 2025, after Meta bought 49% of Scale and hired its founder, Alexandr Wang. So if OpenAI is behind the approach, Turing and Mercor are the likeliest data labeling companies, since both sell to OpenAI and already sell or buy binary analysis expertise. Either way, these data labeling companies are worth $2.2-29B, so even Turing, the smallest, could pay the top of my $12-19M sale range for Nubeva for less than 1% of its last valuation.

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CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B
Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $16B
310 Value’s Newsletter 5 clicks

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