Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $21B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Oct 29 CSGP $13B

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 18

Brian McGough on X

We went Long $BIRK this past weekend. The call was timed ahead of this print, which we thought would be well ahead. But the call is much bigger than beating the qtr. No reason why this won't compound to a double+ over TAIL duration.

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 13

Brian McGough on X

Where are all the $RH haters/trolls this morning? <crickets> This stock could be $600 in short order, and it will likely STILL be a long!

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 9

Brian McGough on X

Pumped about this Well upgrade of $REAL. We've been long and strong this one since a buck. Don't need to rethink my thesis until it's over $10. Quad 2 will likely take it there...It's got the hot hand right now.

@gatorcapital Nov 25

Derek Pilecki on X

Rich Howe hosted me on his new podcast. We talked about some of the spin-offs I've invested in: $VRTS, $JXN, & $VOYA. https://t.co/6jbvrdaj0a

@gatorcapital Nov 25

Derek Pilecki on X

My quarterly investor letter went out a few weeks ago. I wrote a brief investment thesis on $CBNA, a recent IPO. It is a small bank with an excellent, low-cost deposit franchise trading just above tangible book. DM me your email address to receive a copy of the letter.

@AlphaVulture Nov 22 1 click

Alpha Vulture on X

@Ron284Ron From obscure micro-cap to S&P 500 constituent. Impressive run, and for me the first time to see this happen. $TPL #noposition #sadly

@HedgeyeRetail Nov 21

Brian McGough on X

Yes, $HELE just paid $225mm and levered up to buy a nail polish company. 11x EBITDA, when HELE trades at 7x. But don't worry, this will work out just great!

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $14B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $13B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $371M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $24B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3BWGO $892M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $6.8B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $20B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2BPAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker

Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…

CBRS $20B

Shallow Dives Oct 28 4 clicks

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $977M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More

Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…

CI $80B

Narek Hovhannisyan Oct 28 1 click

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…

VRT $79B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 3 clicks

Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality

Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…

XHR $2B

Albert Anthony Oct 28 2 clicks

EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating

EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…

EQT $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.5BAMKR $8.8B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $20B

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 27 5 clicks

Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing

Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…

LITE $48B

P Equity Research Oct 27 2 clicks

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Thursday, October 29, 2026

catechwilliams on X

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Brian McGough on X

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Alpha Vulture on X

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