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Wednesday, October 28, 2026

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@OddDiligence

Odd Diligence on X

the KOSPI shares should open up higher.. Maybe 5 to 10%? Just depends on the Korean vibes i guess over there, hard to pin down. for $SKHY 177.9M shares in IPO, 118.6M shares went to top 25 IPO buyers. Unfair to say they are not trading but have to think a lot of them are not for now. So just napkin math hypotheticals, 59.3M shares after top 25 IPO buyers. $DRAM ETF has 2,898,599 kospi shares currently, and have started buying $SKHY already - they have 850,000 SKYH shares. 2,898,599 KOSPI shares is equivalent to 28,985,990 SKHY. I dont think theyve said that they would switch but IF they did that's another 29.8M shares or so just for that 1 ETF Then SKYH is down to 29.5M shares... All this is hypothetical of course... Just basic hypotesis. Not to mention all the other ETFs that will hold this, all the funds that had no access to Korean markets who can trade this now. All the dumb levered ETFs. I think the premium can get real dumb. Im long both SKYH and $660.KS. for my trading there i think there's opportunity cost in monitoring this trade, when being in the spread, which doesn't fit my personal style - so i dont think i'll be in the spread at all - but thats personal preference
@marginofdanger 2 clicks

marginofdanger on X

I exited my $MLP. After spending a lot more time on this name, I no longer have confidence in the thesis. While I believe there is tremendous asset value, the time to monetize keeps getting pushed out, and the costs to achieve any reasonable realization could be large. I am also concerned that Steve Case doesn't have as much skin in the game as the market thinks, given that he has margin loans out on his position. https://t.co/TePual6ezP

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