Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and BallWire power integrity remain concerns.

CBRS $24B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

Oct 28 CSGP $12B

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

Speedwell Research 1 click

Oct 28 GPI $3.1B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Cannibal Stocks 1 click

From X

@stockgutter Sep 29 1 click

SG on X

@DeepSailCapital $MRNX via short Mar27 150-200C lots of ways for this trade to work. Its my preferred way to fade the outsized (and in the past 2 weeks heavily autocorrelated) move in $MRNA

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

This is what I am alluding to in the Chuck Akre 2011 google talk $FICO https://t.co/ptAE3rvZqV

@ACapitalLP Sep 29

A Capital on X

$FDXF has materially underperformed LTL peers heading into October's first standalone earnings call… Market seems to be pricing in a deteriorating earnings story rather than post-spin complexity. If management can provide clarity on standalone financials and reaffirm its margin trajectory, the RV dislocation could close quickly. Interesting asymmetric setup….

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

$FICO forward P/E means nothing, trailing P/E around ~18x. Relevant mental model may beBill Nygren sand $MCO Moodys post GFC when regulatory expanded agencies from 2.5 to 6 and essentially mandated competition with Moodys. See interview with Google on YT in maybe 2011. We saw how that turned out. Bias: 1 share bought at $870 to scratch an irrational itch. Status: miffed, @wpulte suffers from man with a hammer tendency

@pennycheck Sep 29

⚽️📡 on X

$ADEA New CEO hire is exactly what you want to see. She spent last 8 years at $ARM turning semi conducter IP into massive growth + recurring revenue honestly surprised stock is down given how the previous CEO exit had been weighing on the stock https://t.co/m34bD0nn3l https://t.co/JXuFHAsKJj

@convequity Sep 29

Convequity on X

Batch size sets the trade-off between speed and cost in AI inference. An AI server answers many users at once by bundling their requests into one batch. Our $CBRS note compares this to running a bus. There are two ways to run it, and each gives something up. 1. Fill the bus. Put as many passengers as possible on every run. More stops slow each passenger's trip, but the cost of the run is spread across more people, so the cost per passenger falls. Larger batches do the same: each user's answer is slower, and the cost per token falls because the system produces more tokens from the same hardware. 2. Carry fewer passengers and stop less. Each trip is faster, but fewer seats mean the cost of the run is spread less well, so the cost per passenger rises. Smaller batches are fast for one user and raise the cost per token. So in the analogy, speed for each user is how fast each passenger arrives. Cost per token is cost per passenger. A system set up for one gives up some of the other. When someone compares two inference systems, check the batch size behind each number. A speed figure or a cost-per-token figure quoted without it cannot be compared fairly.

@junkbondinvest Sep 29 2 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

Paramount's $52bn $WBD debt package is FINALLY in the market. Here's the package: $32bn of IG-rated 1L bonds, the 5th-largest US high-grade sale EVER. Plus $7.5bn of loans and $12.4bn of 2L HY bonds. Paramount's existing unsecured bonds? Primed. Back of the line. Good luck and thanks for playing. Where in the cap stack are you playing? $PSKY $PARA

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@accrued_int Yes indeed! Tons of buying In $DKS since August. Retail has generally been a difficult sector for me and so I am approaching this cautiously. https://t.co/sQw6OWE2zl

Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker

Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…

CBRS $24B

Shallow Dives Oct 28 4 clicks

The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More

Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…

CI $78B

Narek Hovhannisyan Oct 28 1 click

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…

VRT $88B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 3 clicks

EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating

EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…

EQT $34B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

AMKR $10B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $16B

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 27 5 clicks

Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing

Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…

LITE $62B

P Equity Research Oct 27 2 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

Are Neoclouds Dead?

Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…

NBIS $42B

Daniel Romero Oct 27 9 clicks

Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis

Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…

RDDT $18B

Hated Moats Oct 27 6 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #17: Gamestop (GME)

GameStop’s $6.1 billion in net cash equivalents and shift toward collectibles underpin a $30 to $40 per-share valuation thesis.

GME $12B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 27 4 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

CRS $15BKRMN $5.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

Cadence Design Systems Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cadence Design Systems grew Q3 revenue 22% to $1.633 billion, built an $8.2 billion backlog and raised its 2026 revenue growth outlook to…

CDNS $89B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 3 clicks

Blackstone: Q3 Shows The Private Credit Scare Was Overdone, And The Stock Is Still Cheap

Blackstone’s Q3 brought $1.37 trillion in AUM and $63.3 billion of inflows, with other businesses offsetting real estate weakness as…

BX $90B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 27 2 clicks

WULF · long

Terawulf INC

TeraWulf is shifting from bitcoin mining toward data centers, seeking a higher-quality and more defensive business model.

WULF $5.4B

Value Investors Club Jul 29

Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas…

EQT $34BRRC $13B

Bison Insights Oct 26 7 clicks

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Celestica surges as the AI chip race keeps going

Celestica rose 12% after beating revenue and profit expectations and raising its full-year outlook, as AI chip demand supports contract…

CLS $33B

The Technology Letter Oct 26 1 click

Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…

AMKR $10B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 26 4 clicks

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

SG on X

Calvin Blissett on X

A Capital on X

Calvin Blissett on X

⚽️📡 on X

Convequity on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Asif Suria on X

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