Tuesday, October 27, 2026

EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating

EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt and an EPS beat.

EQT $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 2 clicks

Oct 27 GFL $20B

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

310 Value’s Newsletter 5 clicks

Oct 27 LITE $62B

Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing

P Equity Research 2 clicks

From X

@StableBread Oct 7

Fajasy on X

@UncleAlpha007 @burningbushcap @mkfilko @JonahLupton TCV/EV leaves out the capex each contract needs before it bills. $BRUN's own ratio is 1.2-1.4x TCV/capex, so the $525M deal implies ~$375-440M of GPUs up front. Most of that rides on Dell and lease financing, tho the first $20M software license installment is due this month too.

@negligible_cap Oct 7

Negligible Capital on X

At this point $NKE and $LULU should just merge to create one big piece of shit

@orrdavid Oct 7 1 click

David Orr on X

I bought the dip in the RV parts company $PATK in 2022. Back then everyone was sure we'd have a recession even though we had super negative real rates. Today $PATK is once again down 50%+, a spot I usually contemplate buying. However, today nobody is talking about a recession (except the perma doomers who don't count) and we have super positive real rates. The housing market is also weak, vs very strong back then. IE Home owners (a big group) suddenly had a lot more cash than they had a few years prior. That setup is gone today, too. I don't think I'll buy $PATK this time. It'll be the first time since I started that I pass on the opportunity. The whole setup here is very concerning for the general market, something I try not to think about too much.

@majgeoinvesting Oct 7 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

Tomorrow’s @GeoInvesting Open Forum is going to be a good one … Topics include: $PPIH $SIF $FEIM $IEHC $OCC $LEAT $BUKS $PXHI https://t.co/9uSE1PY6Le https://t.co/2ufzLyHqXX

@leevalueroach Oct 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

A leaked GameStop $GME memo has used PlayStations trading 50% higher than MSRP because of GTA release. GameStop about to print money into the end of the year. https://t.co/niu0IXZytS

@AsifSuria Oct 7

Asif Suria on X

@_99Paul99 I've been patiently waiting for it. Hopefully a deal for $LION comes in high enough to satisfy Feltheimer, Mnuchin and Rachesky.

@AsifSuria Oct 7

Asif Suria on X

What a powerhouse. Almost makes me wish Netflix $NFLX had succeeded in closing this deal. It will be interesting to see the trajectory of Skydance's $SKYD net debt on the balance sheet over time. While David Zazlav and Warner Bros. Discovery $WBD were criticized a lot for creating a highly leveraged behemoth, they had been consistently paying down that debt:

@convequity Oct 7 2 clicks

Convequity on X

More $NVDA chips could end up going to SpaceX and other buyers that can borrow at investment-grade rates, leaving neoclouds with fewer chips than they need. SpaceX's planned $40bn chip borrowing shows why. The deal: $SPCX is in early talks for about $10bn of bank loans and $30bn of investment-grade debt, led by Apollo, with Pimco also in talks. It would close in 2027, and the talks could still fall apart. The comparison: in December, Apollo lent about $3.5bn to fund xAI's Colossus 2 chips through a separate company set up just for that deal. The interest rate was about 10% a year. xAI is now part of SpaceX. Investment-grade debt usually costs much less. US investment-grade corporate bonds yield around 6% on average today. The rate on the new $30bn has not been reported, so we don't know the exact saving yet. Why it could be cheaper: lenders would be relying on SpaceX's launch and Starlink businesses to repay, not only on the chips. That is the real financial payoff of putting xAI inside SpaceX. Most GPU buyers can't borrow like that. $CRWV is rated junk (Moody's Ba3, Fitch BB-) and pays 9.25% on its 2030 bonds. Standalone AI labs have no public credit ratings that we could find. Not every neocloud pays up. $NBIS has a GPU loan at a floating benchmark rate plus 2.5%, against CoreWeave's plus 5.5%. Our view: the debate on X is whether this proves AI demand or shows too much leverage. We think the bigger point is cost of capital. When chips are scarce, the buyer that borrows most cheaply can pay for the most of them, and neoclouds paying junk-level rates get squeezed out.

Novartis (NYSE: NVS) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Novartis grew Q3 sales 4% to $14.5bn and raised profit guidance, but pipeline failures triggered a $1.9bn impairment as net debt reached…

NVS $304B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 3 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

Boeing (NYSE: BA) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Boeing posted $24.2 billion in Q3 revenue and $1.5 billion in operating cash flow, but commercial aircraft lost $697 million as production…

BA $136B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 1 click

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $7.7B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Are Neoclouds Dead?

Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…

NBIS $42B

Daniel Romero Oct 27 9 clicks

Quantinuum: A Quantum Leader At A Reasonable Value

Quantinuum’s trapped-ion quantum platform supports a $2 billion 2030 revenue estimate and $135 fair value, backed by $2.1 billion cash and…

QNT $1.2B

Fundamental Options Oct 27 5 clicks

Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis

Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…

RDDT $18B

Hated Moats Oct 27 6 clicks

Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM)

Qualcomm supplies chips for on-device AI agents and data center inference, with Meta and AWS agreements expanding its role across both…

QCOM $177B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 27 5 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #17: Gamestop (GME)

GameStop’s $6.1 billion in net cash equivalents and shift toward collectibles underpin a $30 to $40 per-share valuation thesis.

GME $13B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 27 4 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

CRS $15BKRMN $5.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

Cadence Design Systems Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cadence Design Systems grew Q3 revenue 22% to $1.633 billion, built an $8.2 billion backlog and raised its 2026 revenue growth outlook to…

CDNS $89B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 3 clicks

Blackstone: Q3 Shows The Private Credit Scare Was Overdone, And The Stock Is Still Cheap

Blackstone’s Q3 brought $1.37 trillion in AUM and $63.3 billion of inflows, with other businesses offsetting real estate weakness as…

BX $90B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 27 2 clicks

WULF · long

Terawulf INC

TeraWulf is shifting from bitcoin mining toward data centers, seeking a higher-quality and more defensive business model.

WULF $5.4B

Value Investors Club Jul 29

Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas…

EQT $33BRRC $13B

Bison Insights Oct 26 7 clicks

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9BFRMI $1.3B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Celestica surges as the AI chip race keeps going

Celestica rose 12% after beating revenue and profit expectations and raising its full-year outlook, as AI chip demand supports contract…

CLS $33B

The Technology Letter Oct 26 1 click

Seagate sells off but the outlook is still very good

Seagate shares fell 8% after earnings offered less upside than prior quarters, but the hard-disk drive maker forecast another strong…

STX $139B

The Technology Letter Oct 26 1 click

Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…

AMKR $10B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 26 4 clicks

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…

INTR $1.7B

Calvin Blissett Oct 26 38 clicks

Quick Value #335 - Truist Financial (TFC)

Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.

TFC $59B

Value Don't Lie Oct 26 5 clicks

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Fajasy on X

Negligible Capital on X

David Orr on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Lee Roach on X

Asif Suria on X

Asif Suria on X

Convequity on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 70 of 272

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors