Merger Monday & Election Implications
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
I sent out my Q1 investor letter this morning, sharing my investment thesis on $VRTS. If you didn't see a copy and are an accredited investor, DM me your email address, and I'll send it to you.
$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E
$DAKT Just won the massive jumbotron project for the new Titans stadium. Estimated to be $180M. Will be the largest set of displays in the NFL. Bills, Browns stadiums to be announced soon. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mitsubishi acquires them given interest in the category.
With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR
Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR
@RicksCEO Maybe if you did 500 of ebitda, we could afford that one… $rick
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.
Intuitive Surgical built da Vinci into a 12,000-system surgical-robotics network performing 10,000 daily procedures, while high-volume…
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
Analog Devices generated Q3 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 40% year over year, with AI and data centers contributing under 20% of sales…
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…
DGXX · short
Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…
American Express’s Q3 billed-business growth slowed and cards in force fell sequentially, but management attributes the weakness to…
Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.
Philip Morris posted 7% organic Q3 revenue growth and 10% operating-income growth as 9.1% cigarette pricing offset flat volumes, while IQOS…
Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…
Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
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