Friday, October 23, 2026

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix, French bonds and housing.

CRWV $34BTSLA $1.5T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 28 clicks

Oct 23 CRWV $34B

Our Views on CoreWeave

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 12 clicks

Oct 23 BE $56B

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Cestrian Capital Research 8 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Oct 8

SG on X

@frothyassets ahh, I thought maybe but wasn't sure. Yes have short or short call positions in a lot of the 2x quantturd ETFs. Also in the $RGTZ 2x short ETF just for good measure.

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 8

Farmer on X

I had $CHPX on my shorts watchlist, but maybe I should go long? https://t.co/qWIa1yo9lt

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 8 2 clicks

Farmer on X

Been debating shorting $TIH. I believe it previously operated as the mutual fund $TIHGX. Seems like most of the negative alpha was the fee. But also looks like it does poorly in market crashes which is nice. Borrow is only 0.25%. https://t.co/QNEA9Xgrcz

@aleabitoreddit Oct 8

Serenity on X

Hyperscalers are the ones ultimately funding the AI buildout. As seen with $AMZN to $GOOGL earnings commentary, the ROI is seen as wildly attractive. Even $MSFT said they’d be FCF positive during the buildout period. I was more worried about counterparty risk until OpenAI went out and raised like $168B recently.

@DeepSailCapital Oct 8

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARQQ down 20% today on preliminary results. Still worth $300m or like 450x revenue. https://t.co/65vF1lGHP7

@aleabitoreddit Oct 8

Serenity on X

Real bubble is in VC land with private companies like Instinct… $10B valuations off 100k users while $SNAP is worth less with close to 1 Billion MAU. Supply chain stocks aren’t a bubble though, if anything names like $AAOI and others are very undervalued relative to forward growth. And you have demand visibility from hyperscalers extending multiple years…

@aleabitoreddit Oct 8

Serenity on X

Can someone explain how media headlines about OpenAI’s ~$50B ARR… (vs. ~$70B from incorrect accounting comparisons with Anthropic) Somehow ends a 3-5 year laser shortage with $AAOI or memory shortage with $MU? Hint: it doesn’t. https://t.co/FiVsvg8I0G

@StableBread Oct 8

Fajasy on X

Nuclear should bring in $3.7B of the $3.8B of revenue BWX Technologies $BWXT expects in 2026. $BWXT builds nuclear reactors and their heavy components, manufactures nuclear fuel, then services reactors once they’re running. It reports two segments: → Government Operations (73% of 2025 segment revenue, $2,350.1M): Reactors and fuel for the Navy’s submarines and aircraft carriers, uranium processing for the government, microreactor programs, and stakes in the joint ventures running government nuclear sites (booked as equity income, not revenue). → Commercial Operations (27%, $853.1M): Steam generators (heat exchangers turning reactor heat into steam), reactor pressure vessels, fuel, and field services for power utilities, mostly in Ontario. Also Kinectrics (a Toronto-based nuclear engineering and testing firm acquired in 2025) and a medical isotope unit $BWXT is selling. Naval propulsion is the core, at “a little bit less than 1/2” of revenue, CEO Rex Geveden said at $BWXT’s Investor Day on September 29, 2026. Special materials (the government uranium business) makes up 15-20%, and commercial power ~30%. The U.S. government accounted for 68% of 2025 revenue, directly or through prime contractors, down from 76% in 2024 as the commercial side grew. Four large utilities accounted for another 17%, per the FY2025 10-K. What keeps the Navy from switching suppliers is licensing. Only two plants in the U.S. hold Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) licenses to produce fuel from high-enriched uranium (HEU, enriched to 20% or more, which is what naval reactors run on). Both belong to $BWXT (Nuclear Fuel Services in Erwin, Tennessee, and its Lynchburg plant), and the 10-K calls Nuclear Fuel Services “the sole provider of nuclear fuel for the U.S. Navy.”

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $314B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 2 clicks

Amazon’s Trainium Takes a Strike at the Training King

Amazon’s Trainium3 adds native PyTorch training support, targeting CUDA-trained researchers with standard APIs, eager mode and…

AMZN $2.8T

SemiAnalysis Oct 23 7 clicks

Alphabet: Gemini 4 Argon Is Coming For ChatGPT's Lunch

Alphabet's Gemini 4 Argon aims to undercut rival AI models using proprietary TPUs, while Android, Siri and Google Cloud distribution…

GOOGL $3.9T

Dustin Quasney Oct 23 3 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $34B

Net Interest Oct 23 11 clicks

Spotify 3Q’26: Built for the Background

Spotify's third-quarter results met or exceeded guidance, with 306 million Premium subscribers and €672 million operating income, while…

SPOT $108B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 23 3 clicks

Big Tech Will Spend More on AI This Year Than Walmart Sells

Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft plan nearly $800 billion of AI infrastructure spending, testing whether incremental returns can stay…

GOOGL $3.9TMSFT $3.9T

Ezra's Notes Oct 23 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

ALLY $12BMTCH $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 4 clicks

Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN) Stock Rating: HOLD After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Texas Instruments reported Q3 revenue of $6.06 billion, up 28%, with 47% operating margin and Q4 guidance above seasonal norms; Cestrian…

TXN $260B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 6 clicks

Tempus AI: Moderna's New Cancer Vaccine Partner Is The Pick Of The AI Biotech Bunch

TEM $11BMRNA $98B

Edmund Ingham Oct 23 4 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $453M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Putting bear cases to rest

Medpace authorized $1 billion of buybacks through 2028 after Q3 revenue rose 8.5% to $716 million; service revenue grew roughly 12% as…

MEDP $18B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 23 14 clicks

Lockheed Martin Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Lockheed Martin's Q3 missile sales rose 24% on PAC-3, THAAD, GMLRS and PrSM ramps, lifting Missiles and Fire Control backlog to $142.5…

LMT $127B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Industry Primers Podcast: Natural Resources Royalty & Streaming, Part One: The Story

Franco-Nevada, Wheaton and Texas Pacific Land built royalty and streaming businesses by buying fixed shares of mines and wells, tracing the…

FNV $47BWPM $57B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 23 4 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $10B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 4 clicks

PYPD · long

Polypid LTD

PolyPid, an $80 million Israeli biotech, fell nearly 30% despite solving a clinical problem.

PYPD $103M

Value Investors Club Jul 25

It’s time to sell the winners again as Western Digital, Bloom report outstanding results, shares drop

Western Digital and Bloom Energy fell after strong quarterly results, extending the selloff in AI-linked stocks.

WDC $132BBE $56B

The Technology Letter Oct 22 4 clicks

Sharp Tech on Video: Netflix Angst, the End of the Internet, and Meta’s VR Glasses

Sharp Tech launches on video, covering Netflix, the internet’s future and Meta’s VR glasses.

NFLX $511BMETA $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 22 1 click

OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case

Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration,…

CRDO $28B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 22 5 clicks

Field Trip: AI Has to Be Seen to Be Believed

Seattle AI users report major productivity gains and expect firms to shift from OpenAI and Anthropic toward owned hardware, supporting…

NVDA $5.1T

Aurelion Research Oct 22 15 clicks

Lam Research Q1 FY6/27 Earnings Review

Lam Research reported $8.22 billion in Q1 FY6/27 revenue, with systems up 62% and operating margin reaching a record 40% as memory spending…

LRCX $326B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 22 4 clicks

Friday, October 23, 2026

SG on X

Farmer on X

Farmer on X

Serenity on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Serenity on X

Serenity on X

Fajasy on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 108

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 62 of 253

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors