Friday, October 23, 2026

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix, French bonds and housing.

CRWV $30B

Steve Eisman Oct 23 29 clicks

Oct 23 CRWV $30B

Our Views on CoreWeave

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 12 clicks

Oct 23 BE $56B

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Cestrian Capital Research 9 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Sep 24

Deep Sail Capital on X

$CRDO Bumping back up to $200. Post earnings dump was an excellent entry point.

@Fierce__beast Sep 24 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

I am short $INMD. The stock will go lower i think if the business continues to deteriorate. Unfortunately, the guidance changes and results have caused me to essentially lose a lot of trust in anything the management says. I have been following this company for years. Sparing you the details, my view is not that I think fair value is significantly lower, but rather that there is just very small chances it recovers its core business. I think the most likely case is that it languishes and underperforms the market over time. Short interest collapsed to low single digits after the deal was announced and it remained low even after the deal ended last week.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats fair point - the difference however is that my statement is provably correct (even you agree that low band makes mid worth more), & we know that FCC supports $NN b/c of the draft NPRM. ipso facto there is in fact a readthrough for $NN, despite your declaration otherwise.

@valuedontlie Sep 24

Colin King on X

$PPLI withdraws bid for $MGM Shares of MGM down 11% today (essentially back to where they were before PPLI buyout proposal) Stock trades at less than 10x FCF and PPLI still owns ~27% https://t.co/I9RiOvWkri

@calvinblissett Sep 24 2 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

Given today’s $ZIM news that the improved offer has been submitted, likely delaying closing of the same $35 acquisition to 1H 2027 I think it is even more relevant to understand why this is a good thing, which I explain in the attached article as well as backing it up with some facts and figures

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 7/x $NN) happy to have flaws in my logic exposed, but the real point is that the nuance is such that making declarative statements without working through the logic chain is IMHO not additive to the debate.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 6/x $NN) thus, as you agreed, mid-band is more valuable if it has low-band to support it. Thus, the FCC is incentivized to support $NN, which we know they are doing b/c they issued a draft NPRM, which is admittedly stuck in OIRA review. For now.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 5/x $NN) This is what customers actually care about. You can get around this by building more towers and hanging more radios and using midband for control, but that is less efficient and more expensive.

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $314B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 3 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $30B

Net Interest Oct 23 12 clicks

Spotify 3Q’26: Built for the Background

Spotify's third-quarter results met or exceeded guidance, with 306 million Premium subscribers and €672 million operating income, while…

SPOT $108B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 23 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

ALLY $12BMTCH $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 4 clicks

Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN) Stock Rating: HOLD After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Texas Instruments reported Q3 revenue of $6.06 billion, up 28%, with 47% operating margin and Q4 guidance above seasonal norms; Cestrian…

TXN $260B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 7 clicks

Tempus AI: Moderna's New Cancer Vaccine Partner Is The Pick Of The AI Biotech Bunch

Tempus AI targets $1.6 billion of 2026 revenue through AI diagnostics, data licensing and cancer-testing partnerships, with Personalis…

TEM $13BMRNA $98B

Edmund Ingham Oct 23 6 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $453M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Putting bear cases to rest

Medpace authorized $1 billion of buybacks through 2028 after Q3 revenue rose 8.5% to $716 million; service revenue grew roughly 12% as…

MEDP $18B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 23 14 clicks

Lockheed Martin Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Lockheed Martin's Q3 missile sales rose 24% on PAC-3, THAAD, GMLRS and PrSM ramps, lifting Missiles and Fire Control backlog to $142.5…

LMT $140B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Industry Primers Podcast: Natural Resources Royalty & Streaming, Part One: The Story

Franco-Nevada, Wheaton and Texas Pacific Land built royalty and streaming businesses by buying fixed shares of mines and wells, tracing the…

FNV $47BWPM $57B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 23 4 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $10B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 4 clicks

PYPD · long

Polypid LTD

PolyPid, an $80 million Israeli biotech, fell nearly 30% despite solving a clinical problem.

PYPD $106M

Value Investors Club Jul 25

It’s time to sell the winners again as Western Digital, Bloom report outstanding results, shares drop

Western Digital and Bloom Energy fell after strong quarterly results, extending the selloff in AI-linked stocks.

WDC $143BBE $56B

The Technology Letter Oct 22 5 clicks

OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case

Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration,…

CRDO $28B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 22 5 clicks

Lam Research Q1 FY6/27 Earnings Review

Lam Research reported $8.22 billion in Q1 FY6/27 revenue, with systems up 62% and operating margin reaching a record 40% as memory spending…

LRCX $301B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 22 4 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.2B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Patient Investors Should Hold Through Volatility

CoreWeave targets 8 GW of active power by 2030, expands into India and builds its AI cloud ecosystem through Google Cloud and partner…

CRWV $30B

Jack Elias Oct 22 6 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 6 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 12 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 34 clicks

Friday, October 23, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

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