Thursday, October 22, 2026

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.2B

HFI Research Oct 22 9 clicks

Oct 22 MYRG $4B

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

Monte Independent Investment Research 5 clicks

Oct 22 MOS $5.5B

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Latticework by MOI Global 12 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 3/x $NN) so while you are calling $NN's 15 MHz of low a "small slice" in reality it is not much smaller than what $T bought, and it could be multiples of what they have AVAILABLE

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 2/x $NN) This why $T bought 20 mhz of low band from $ECHO. $VZ and $TMUS have more subs than $T and about the same amount of low band. Logically, $VZ and $TMUS must also be dealing with low band congestion.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 1/x $NN) you note that carriers "control" ~50 mhz of low-band each. respectfully, "control" is clearly not the relevant variable. how much they have AVAILALBLE is what matters. $T commented that they were capacity constrained on low band.

@Fierce__beast Sep 24

Fierce_beast on X

Shorting low P/Es sometimes works: $SSTK and $GETY https://t.co/aRCDW2nrC2

@Adam_Wyden Sep 24 1 click

Adam D. Wyden on X

King William as my son likes to refer to him out with his first public position. Don’t sleep on him. $LIFE https://t.co/598FwOWcDh

@aleabitoreddit Sep 24

Serenity on X

I mean $LITE / $COHR did have $NVDA funding $2B for their buildout. But Lumentum seems primarily self-funded from operating cash flow. So I'd expect $AAOI to follow suit once they start ramp up around H1 2027. 2026 is just that high capex buildout period. My criticism was over visibility and financing methods during this timeframe.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 24

Serenity on X

$AAOI has finished a $500m ATM In April.. $600m ATM in June. Then filed another $600m in August. It's out of my control if management wants to abuse this trash repeated ATM structure. Instead following $AXTI like LTA prepayments and using that to fund buildout. Or taking private placements like $NVDA + Nebius for $2B and using that to fund buildout. Or convertible notes at 40% premiums. It's really hard for the stock to break out of $100 or $150 or $200 if there's $600M of selling pressure at those levels (and maybe expectations of future ATMs). I had the same criticism with $IREN with their $6B ATM, which is why it's been rangebound for half a year. And I'll say the same thing with my own thesis names too. I see $AAOI operationally very bullish for 2027, with $471m/month transceiver revenue. 400k ELSFP units/month entering 2028. The revenue ramp is absurd and can compress to single digit forward P/E. But I find it hard to get excited over funding infinite ATMs during the buildout, when you're sacrificing opportunity cost with names currently profitable like $SNDK or Samsung. I think a lot of retail investors conflate stock performance with how a company is doing operationally. $AAOI is capitalizing on a bottleneck with high demand visibility, but stock has been going nowhere near-term with repeated ATMs. I do expect AOI to strongly outperform (especially in 2027) if they stop issuing these stupid ATMs.

@negligible_cap Sep 24

Negligible Capital on X

$SOXX – Semis have underperformed the Nasdaq 100 by about 14% since the start of July, putting semis on track for their biggest quarter of underperformance relative to the broader tech index since 2007 per Bloomberg. Really puts into perspective how wild Q2 was: https://t.co/LpGHKEZKu3

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 34 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 5 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $104M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

GPI $2.7BLAD $6.6B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 22 6 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

ATAT $4.5B

Substack von Philipp Oct 22 8 clicks

Moon River Moly: Research Note

Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…

MRIVF $16M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $787M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $269M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Webull: A 30% Annual Return Setup As Perpetual Futures Go Live

BULL $3.3B

PropNotes Oct 21 3 clicks

Why I sold OB pick for 26 SVM

Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…

SVM $2B

The Oak Bloke Oct 21 27 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus, GM

Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus and GM anchor a 34-case survey of activism, buybacks, M&A and strategic reviews, led by Starboard’s…

SOLS $9.5BACI $6.6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 42 clicks

UNCY · long

Unicycive Therapeutics INC

Unicycive Therapeutics fell nearly 50% after a second FDA Complete Response Letter tied to a third-party manufacturer for its primary…

UNCY $104M

Value Investors Club Jul 24

Sagimet Biosciences: The U.S. Acne Trial Is A Replication Exercise, Not A Discovery Bet

Sagimet Biosciences' denifanstat enters a fully funded U.S. acne registration trial after Phase 3 results, with SGMT trading below cash and…

SGMT $676M

Equity Eagle Oct 21 3 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $8.1B

CV's Substack Oct 20 28 clicks

Inogen: Cheap Enough To Take A Chance On

Inogen's $45 million buyback, debt-free balance sheet and cash equal to 61% of market value support a Buy case despite 3% 2026 growth…

INGN $187M

Intrinsic Analysis Oct 20 8 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $74M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 11 clicks

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

MANE $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 41 clicks

💥Hain Celestial: Earthly Issues💥

Hain Celestial sold its North American snacks business for $115 million as declining sales and EBITDA left $558 million of secured debt…

HAIN $14M

PETITION Oct 20 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

MYRG $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 20 8 clicks

Urban Outfitters: Nuuly Is More Valuable Than Its Margins Suggest

Urban Outfitters' Nuuly subscription service grew sales 28.6% and reached a 10.1% operating margin, with management targeting $700 million…

URBN $7.4B

IWA Research Oct 20 4 clicks

Thursday, October 22, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

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