Thursday, October 22, 2026

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

SA PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

Weyerhaeuser Company: Timberland Assets Offer Long-Term Upside At A Discount

Weyerhaeuser’s $23.07 sum-of-the-parts valuation rests on discounted timberlands, while its 4.3% dividend needs stronger free cash flow and…

WY $14B

SA Atlas Diary Oct 22 7 clicks

COCO · short

Vita Coco Company INC

Vita Coco, COCO, is pitched short after a 45% monthly rally, arguing investors are overextrapolating coconut water category growth.

Sea Limited (SE) Q4'25 - Shopee in Focus, 11 Reasons To Keep Investing

Sea Limited generated about $3.5 billion in free cash flow as Shopee invests in Southeast Asian and Brazilian growth despite lower 2027…

Hallador Pt. 2 — "Massive" Data Center Incoming in Sullivan, IN? ($HNRG)

Hallador’s 1 GW Merom plant could supply a proposed 1,000-acre Sullivan County data center, with local filings and Stantec references tying…

Theravance Biopharma: Failed Phase 3 Trial, Strategic Review

Theravance Biopharma began a strategic review after a failed Phase 3 trial.

The Green Dot Breakup: Grocery Money, Not Coffee Money

Green Dot’s breakup offers $8.11 cash plus 0.2215 BankCo shares, while GDOT’s $11.50 price implies a 0.55x tangible-book valuation for the…

ELME Communities (NYSE:ELME)

ELME Communities’ liquidation gained clearer value markers with $112.75 million of Atlanta apartment sales and a Watergate 600 contract,…

Low-Entropy Businesses: Why Some Companies Quietly Endure (Part II)

OMA, Diageo and Alpine railways show how fixed concessions, enduring rituals and irreplaceable geography can create durable operating…

Updates: TerraVest, Seaport Entertainment, XPEL (TVK.TO, SEG, XPEL)

Seaport Entertainment sold 250 Water St for $142 million and leased the loss-making Tin Building, while TerraVest’s Q1 cash EBIT margin…

Single Stock Spotlight #3: Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has retired more than 30% of its shares since 2022; higher structural metallurgical-coal costs could support…

Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner

Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…