Thursday, October 22, 2026

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

PENG $3.2BMRP $4B

SA The Undercovered Dozen Oct 22 14 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

SA PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

Weyerhaeuser Company: Timberland Assets Offer Long-Term Upside At A Discount

Weyerhaeuser’s $23.07 sum-of-the-parts valuation rests on discounted timberlands, while its 4.3% dividend needs stronger free cash flow and…

WY $14B

SA Atlas Diary Oct 22 7 clicks

VSEC · long

Vse CORP

VSE Corp trades at $185, with a stated $246 fair value and 2027 estimated EV/EBITDA of 15x.

Between the Vectors: Decoding MongoDB’s Acquisition Math and Executive Exodus

MongoDB’s acquisition math and executive departures.

Global Spirits: Q425 Earnings Update

Campari posts three consecutive quarters of accelerating organic sales growth while Diageo and Pernod face deleveraging pressure, with…

Short CNM

Core & Main faces a short thesis centered on the risks in its roll-up strategy.

Short LUMN

Lumen Technologies faces a fading boost from its PCF-related sugar high.

Single Stock Spotlight #5: Core Natural Resources (CNR)

Core Natural Resources (CNR) trades at 6 times normalized free cash flow, with export thermal coal exposure positioned for LNG disruption…

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW): 50% Market Share, Earnings Rebound, Clear Catalyst | Special Report

Douglas Dynamics controls over 50% of North American professional snowplows; a strong 2025/26 winter and replacement demand are projected…

Nomad Foods - The Yield Machine

Nomad Foods combines leading European frozen-food brands with a high dividend yield, buybacks and decade-low valuation, while private-label…

Call me crazy, I'm adding to a US apartment REIT

NexPoint Residential is being added despite weak multifamily performance, with insider ownership and a transaction-ready structure…

Doubling Down on Iran and OXY

Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…