Thursday, October 22, 2026

OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case

Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration, power and thermal performance.

CRDO $32B

Vik's Newsletter 15h ago 5 clicks

21h ago RIG $6.5B

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Research 7 clicks

25h ago MYRG $4B

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

Monte Independent Investment Research 5 clicks

From X

@calvinblissett Oct 17 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

Radian ($RDN) is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer that is reshaping itself into a global specialty insurer through its $1.7 billion acquisition of Lloyd’s carrier Inigo, closed in February. Investors are skeptical of the pivot: Q2 missed estimates as a $30 million reserve charge tied to Middle East exposure pushed Inigo’s combined ratio to 97.7%. At $30.61, RDN trades at about 0.85x book value of $36 and roughly 7x annualized operating earnings of $1.14 per quarter. The core mortgage book is better than ever: primary insurance in force hit a record $284 billion, and higher rates keep policies in force longer because fewer borrowers refinance. Radian still holds $1.45 billion of capital above the mortgage insurance standard (PMIERs), 37% above requirements, and excluding the one-off charge, specialty margins were in the high 80s. Book value grew 8.5% year over year, and buybacks are tracking toward the top of the $200–250 million target.

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 5 clicks

A Capital on X

The asset base is too large and diversified to ever underwrite loan by loan. The thesis is that the private credit apocalypse is exaggerated, $OWL became the poster child given its reliance on the HNW channel, and the market is assigning far too little value to its non-credit assets and durable fee-generating franchise.

@gnoble79 Oct 17 4 clicks

George Noble on X

@FrenchV33921 Already there with $CRWV and $IREN IS $NBIS worse?

@calvinblissett Oct 17 16 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@sidecarcap This is exactly what I think is happening with $SLM $KSPI and maybe $YB. $KNSL too

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 2 clicks

A Capital on X

@Pembrokestcap But isn’t $OWL reputation, and by extension their ability to raise capital, permanently impaired? Who cares if they own valuable GP stakes and real estate businesses that never tapped the high-net-worth channel? Isn’t the entire franchise structurally compromised?

@finphysnerd Oct 17 2 clicks

Myles on X

Shorts that aren't actually that overvalued (a 10+15% grower trading at 30x earnings can be overvalued, but still easily trade to 40-50x). Sizing is very important. Stuff like $CBA, $WDFC, $WMT, $WING have been some of my biggest winners this year with no catalyst.

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 2 clicks

A Capital on X

My favorite part of this $OWL article… What possible value could investment bankers see in a full or partial sale of the business that the public market is apparently missing? https://t.co/5rjY1IZQv1 https://t.co/yWPrLNBD21

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 5 clicks

A Capital on X

What are the most interesting asset monetization / SOTP situations in the market right now? Looking for companies where the public market is materially undervaluing the underlying assets, with a credible path to unlocking that value through asset sales, spin-offs, or corporate simplification. Not just cheap conglomerates. Actual catalysts. I’ll start: $FUL $CODI $KBR

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global 25h ago 7 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global 25h ago 16 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global 25h ago 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

PENG $3BMRP $3.6B

The Undercovered Dozen 26h ago 10 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

CEG $96B

Trade Ideas Flow 27h ago 2 clicks

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

ROL $16B

Jimmy's Journal 29h ago 36 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

GPI $2.7BLAD $6.6B

Cannibal Stocks 29h ago 1 click

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

PropNotes 30h ago 6 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

ATAT $4.5B

Substack von Philipp 31h ago 4 clicks

Weyerhaeuser Company: Timberland Assets Offer Long-Term Upside At A Discount

Weyerhaeuser’s $23.07 sum-of-the-parts valuation rests on discounted timberlands, while its 4.3% dividend needs stronger free cash flow and…

WY $14B

Atlas Diary 32h ago 4 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus, GM

Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus and GM anchor a 34-case survey of activism, buybacks, M&A and strategic reviews, led by Starboard’s…

SOLS $9.6BACI $6.5B

Latticework by MOI Global 28h ago 26 clicks

Sea Limited (SE) Sea Cloud and Monee IPO

Sea Limited plans Sea Cloud and a Monee IPO, using 40-plus data centers and 25,000 GPUs while risking heavier capex and prolonged thin…

SE $47B

Sleep Well Investments 33h ago 6 clicks

EXPE · long

Expedia Group INC

Expedia Group, one of the largest online travel companies, has roughly 3.6 million lodging properties and is expanding internationally.

EXPE $35B

Value Investors Club Jul 24

Strategy: I Called The STRC Repeg, Now The Bitcoin Machine Can Restart

Strategy spent $1.84 billion repurchasing STRC below $100, bringing it near par and potentially reopening a preferred-share issuance…

MSTR $55B

Geneva Investor 42h ago 6 clicks

CoreWeave: It’s Not Dying, Not Anytime Soon

CoreWeave is compared with Amazon's early public years, when investors expected bankruptcy amid losses and dependence on outside capital.

CRWV $34B

Capitalist Letters Oct 21 41 clicks

Berkshire Put Bending Spoons On My Radar

Bending Spoons has spent about $10 billion on software acquisitions, including pending Miro, while Q2 organic growth was 3% and all…

BSP $29B

Jack Bowman Oct 21 10 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $9.7B

CV's Substack Oct 20 28 clicks

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

MANE $5.3B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 41 clicks

Heico Corporation

HEICO sells FAA-approved aircraft replacement parts at 30% to 50% discounts to OEMs, gaining customers as restrictive aftermarket contracts…

HEI $42B

D Invests Oct 20 13 clicks

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Update - Accumulate, Record Backlog, Zones And Stop Inside

Northrop Grumman posted 7% Q3 sales growth to $11.1 billion, lifted profit guidance and reached a record $109.6 billion backlog, led by…

NOC $73B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 4 clicks

Thursday, October 22, 2026

Calvin Blissett on X

A Capital on X

George Noble on X

Calvin Blissett on X

A Capital on X

Myles on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

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