Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner 35h ago 13 clicks

39h ago NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

41h ago APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 63 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital 32h ago

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK is an excellent alternative hedge short IMO to QQQ. A bit of timing to avoid the massive bubbles but way more follow through to the downside. https://t.co/jyUYhlMit4

@DeepSailCapital 32h ago 5 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK vs $SPY vs $QQQ by year. https://t.co/XEaaaCTQvL

@Mr_Neutral_Man 34h ago 2 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

@BarbarianCap 35h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Silgan to Combine With Trivium Packaging in $3.4 Billion Deal $SLGN https://t.co/XWQSkZuUO5

@BarbarianCap 35h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap 35h ago 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@StableBread 35h ago

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

@BarbarianCap 35h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Tradeweb to Buy Trumid For About $1.97 Billion $TW https://t.co/41iZw4PowI

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow 46h ago 18 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $379M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 16 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 33 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $362M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 9 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 13 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $36M

Capital Employed Oct 19 65 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.3BIOVA $6.7B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 18 15 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 5 clicks

NRGV · long

Energy Vault Holdings INC

Energy Vault (NRGV) is pitched as a long at about $4 per share, with contracted owned-and-operated projects supporting a $10 to $15 target.

NRGV $516M

Value Investors Club Jun 29 1 click

Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside

Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…

RARE $1.5B

Hated Moats Aug 30

FTRE 2026-08-30

Fortrea Holdings: The Turnaround Is Showing Up In Earnings Before Revenue

Fortrea’s adjusted EBITDA rose 24% in H1 as cost cuts outpaced a 3.4% revenue decline, while new business awards increased 19%.

FTRE $2.1B

Manimala Misra Aug 30 2 clicks

Three small caps from my watchlist (August 2026)

EverQuote, an $864 million digital insurance marketplace, and PAR Technology, an $808 million restaurant software provider, lead a…

EVER $801MPAR $718M

Inglenook Growth Aug 30

Tidewater (TDW): The $225,000 Boat They Laughed At Built the Biggest Fleet on Water

Tidewater’s 200-vessel offshore fleet trades at 40% of replacement cost as the global orderbook sits at 4% of supply, versus 34% last cycle.

TDW $4B

Cannibal Stocks Aug 30

PAHC 2026-08-30

Phibro Animal Health: Zoetis Integrated And Better Cash Flow Ahead

Phibro Animal Health’s Zoetis MFA acquisition broadens its vaccines, nutrition and companion-animal businesses, while Chicago Heights…

PAHC $1.6B

Myriam Alvarez Aug 30 2 clicks

Is IREN Fucked? (Q4 Earnings Thoughts)

IREN says contracted AI-cloud ARR will rise from $1 billion to $4 billion by year-end, supported by GPU customer prepayments, financing and…

IREN $12B

Daniel Romero Aug 29 1 click

Burry on Build-A-Bear, Part 1

Michael Burry on Build-A-Bear Workshop, Part 1.

BBW $303M

Cassandra Unchained Aug 29 2 clicks

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…

VEEV $52B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 29 11 clicks

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…

BE $67B

Valuation Rewind Aug 29 3 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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