Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Oct 19 NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 19 APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 69 clicks

From X

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 16

Brian McGough on X

Any way you slice it, $ULTA just talked down 2025. Looks like another flat year. But upping unit growth for '26 and beyond? Makes no sense. Berkshire bought this too early. We're still short.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 6 1 click

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

@HedgeyeRetail Sep 19

Brian McGough on X

This is what we said on $NKE earlier this year... 4. How Donahoe still has a job is a mystery. All the company has to do is say what we think is reality – that on (or BEFORE) April 2025 when Donahoe is required to step down (when he turns 65), that the company will bring back Mark Parker, Eric Sprunk or Elliott Hill to be CEO or interim CEO while the company reaccelerates the business model. Donahoe is a #fail, and his era of rule needs to come to an end – fast. As CEO of Nike, the man is incompetent. Yes, I (McGough) know that this statement will get me uninvited to the analyst meeting this fall. But I don't care. It needs to be said out loud.

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@HedgeyeRetail Aug 15

Brian McGough on X

My team has the stones to tell me "the deck we prepared on $PLNT is the best work we've EVER done." I rarely hear that degree of confidence from anyone. You be the judge...presentation TOMORROW, 8/16. Deets below. https://t.co/u5qz3Xcdl4

@HedgeyeRetail Aug 14

Brian McGough on X

The work we're doing on $PLNT is next-level -- similar to what we did on $FND, but with a VERY different conclusion. Analyzing each store from a property developers perspective... Black Book on Friday... https://t.co/XKWvJdeWyH

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $20B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 36 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $38B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 7 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 23 clicks

Cerebras Systems: Beaten To A Pulp On Irrational Fears (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras, a wafer-scale AI chipmaker, is forecast to nearly 10x sales by 2028 as capacity expands, while its shares have fallen on capacity…

CBRS $28B

Stone Fox Capital Oct 18 11 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $12B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 27 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $46BLITE $75B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 60 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $4.1B

Tim Travis Oct 17 11 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

LA Capital Oct 16 10 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $7.2B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 20 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.5BVAL $6.2B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 45 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

Brian McGough on X

catechwilliams on X

Idea Brunch on X

catechwilliams on X

Brian McGough on X

catechwilliams on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 54 of 247

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors