Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner 38h ago 14 clicks

42h ago NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

44h ago APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 64 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 22 2 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

Lots of financials like insurance brokers, banks, retail brokerages getting smoked on Muse / agentic concerns / cash sweeps / wealth mgmt? $SCHW, $LPLA, $RJF all getting crushed along with all of insurance Looks like sell first, think later is back https://t.co/pvWN2aytg3

@finphysnerd Sep 22 2 clicks

Myles on X

$LDOS looks interesting to me. They provide a variety of government services including healthcare, intelligence, defence and homeland security stuff. Currently overearning due to a VA healthcare contract that will be renegotiated lower going into 2027. The market has sold them

@ACapitalLP Sep 22 1 click

A Capital on X

Know fins are selling off today, but the $JEF underperformance since Radiant World feels like perception <> reality. We literally just saw this movie with First Brands: scary headline, fears of a much bigger balance-sheet problem, then the actual exposure comes into focus. Fool me once…

@OddDiligence Sep 22 1 click

Odd Diligence on X

$SRAD is explicitly mentioned in $META Muse source code & technical documentation - although functionality does not appear to have been turned on yet I believe Meta will expand their relationship with Sportradar https://t.co/OS10T9268i https://t.co/MzTsyf3WV0

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 22

Laughing Water Capital on X

@310Value reminder that $APG pfd A stock, by which the holders get paid hedge fund-like incentive comp based on year end share price, will be converted at year end. Management/board are well incentivized to do everything they can to juice the stock price into year end.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 22

Serenity on X

I feel like traditional "value investing" went into hibernation. Before it was finding a 10x -12x P/E company like $UPWK or $PYPL, Dominoes, Pepsi. Or even a cheap Japanese company below book value. Then just enjoying slow growth but buyback/dividend appreciation from their cashflow. Now you can find 1.8x runrate P/E company like $ESMT that grew revenue 605.24% Y/Y. And the main thing you need to argue about is duration. Or a 16.2x trailing P/E Sumitomo, despite having way too many hyperscaler LTAs in AI from fiber to lasers. AI created much bigger medium-term anomaly, where "value investing" went towards high growth, "deep value" companies.

@leevalueroach Sep 22

Lee Roach on X

Here is my slide on $GME four wall economics. $1.9 million of sales per store. $580k of EBITDA at a 30% margin. Corporate SG&A only $64k per store as Ryan Cohen has slashed costs and is running this like a startup. These unit economics are stunning. This is why they are beginning to reopen stores again after shutting down 5,000. The payback is less than a year. Wait until the drooling suits figure this out. Management is buying in size, this is one of the reasons. More info: https://t.co/Re7vRQ6uHG

@kab604 Sep 22 1 click

kab60 on X

@aurelius28 What do you think they needs to change? I honestly don't think much has changed (apart from valuation) in the case of $FIS and $JKHY (which is too expensive). $FISV seems to have real issues. But despite all the complaints, industry seems to be fine, stickiness high as hell.

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 34 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63B

Open Insights Oct 19 14 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 6 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 22 clicks

Cerebras Systems: Beaten To A Pulp On Irrational Fears (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras, a wafer-scale AI chipmaker, is forecast to nearly 10x sales by 2028 as capacity expands, while its shares have fallen on capacity…

CBRS $28B

Stone Fox Capital Oct 18 10 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 13 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 24 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $52BLITE $75B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

LA Capital Oct 16 9 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

CMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 14 6 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $34B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 14 8 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

Equity Eagle Oct 14 8 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

Negligible Capital on X

Myles on X

A Capital on X

Odd Diligence on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Serenity on X

Lee Roach on X

kab60 on X

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