Sunday, October 18, 2026

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.8B

SA Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

SA LA Capital Oct 16 9 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

Liberty Global: Things Got Much Worse, But I Am Still Greedy

Liberty Global faces VMO2 restructuring-priced bonds and Ziggo unsecured yields near 16% after owners extracted £5.15 billion since 2021.

LBTYA $2.7B

SA Andrew Mach Oct 16 4 clicks

QXO · long

QXO, Inc.

QXO, led by Brad Jacobs, is consolidating North America’s fragmented building-products distribution industry after rapidly building scale…

Bread Financial ($BFH): When You Outsource Everything Except the Downside

Bread Financial is a short thesis centered on outsourcing operations while retaining downside risk.

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

Future-proofing A Portfolio (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Eagle Point favors McKesson, AutoZone and other physical-network businesses with durable demand, scale moats and lower disruption risk than…

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

Cracks in the Coconuts: Why Vita Coco’s ($COCO) Growth Narrative is Spoiling

Vita Coco’s growth narrative is deteriorating, supporting a short thesis on COCO.

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

Why Lindblad's Record Year Should Terrify Its Shareholders

Lindblad's record year is the basis for a short thesis against LIND.

Alta Fox PBH CN Presentation

Premium Brands Holdings faces margin expansion and free-cash-flow growth as a six-year investment cycle ends, while Alta Fox says its…