Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

Oct 17 COHR $46B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 14 clicks

Oct 17 SIRI $9B

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

Eagle Point Capital 60 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Sep 4

David Orr on X

$LULU's old brand was exclusive, high quality clothes. Curated for only the best thing. Back in 2015. Over time, they expanded a ton and from too-high of volume alone, it would have been impossible to keep quality high. Recently this spun out of control and quality is downright terrible. How can this problem possibly be fixed? Don't they use a zillion different suppliers? I don't think there are enough good ones to replace them, even if someone executed very well. On top of quality problems, they ruined the brand image with DEI garbage. I don't see how that is repairable, at least not for many years. And finally, the whole athleisure category is stale. Which is $LULU's entire brand. Point being, if I was management, I would see no path to turning this ship around within 5 years. And the remaining company at the end would be much smaller than it is today. And that'd be the good outcome, with any of the above three points being a failure mode anyway.

@valuedontlie Sep 4

Colin King on X

Risk/reward at $75 looks really attractive… Own some $CALM common and Feb 2027 call spreads at $80 / $85 strike DYODD :) https://t.co/zbjdWieHQS

@ACapitalLP Sep 4

A Capital on X

@DreamPositiveCp @grok what is the binary event for $NN?

@Fierce__beast Sep 4

Fierce_beast on X

@FishtownCap Could $UNFI and $CHEF merge or too much overlap already

@negligible_cap Sep 4

Negligible Capital on X

Why has $LULU never tried to buildout specialized yoga studios or acquire a chain like Corepower? Seems like it would be a great way to get more stable / recurring revenue via memberships and a good opportunity to cross sell products and attract the companies core clientele (fit yoga girls? I don't even know anymore man)

@Adam_Wyden Sep 4

Adam D. Wyden on X

@mac003_c $DRVN They said it was substantially undervalued at $18.00... Much more likely they buyback the stock to $25-30 and then revisit selling the entire company / segments...

@ACapitalLP Sep 4

A Capital on X

@everyonehatesp1 Idk but the lack of insight on coal names yesterday cost me this trade. Do better. $METC

@Fierce__beast Sep 4 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

@FishtownCap Are there any decent food brand stocks any more? $MDLZ also seems troubled

Investor Letters

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Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.8B

Tim Travis Oct 17 11 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $352B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

LA Capital Oct 16 10 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 17 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven…

GLOO $291M

Guardian Research Oct 16 18 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783MNFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 44 clicks

SMWB · long

Similarweb LTD

Similarweb (SMWB) is presented as a long, revisiting the company’s digital-intelligence business after two prior VIC write-ups.

SMWB $748M

Value Investors Club Jul 19 11 clicks

Devon Energy: Eagle Ford Sale Is A Significant Step To Closing The Valuation Discount (Upgrade To Strong Buy)

Devon Energy’s $4.2 billion Eagle Ford sale concentrates its portfolio in the Permian, lifting capital efficiency and margins despite lower…

DVN $55B

Elliott Gue Oct 16

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $7.2B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 20 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 13 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $839M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 15 clicks

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 13 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

David Orr on X

Colin King on X

A Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

Negligible Capital on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

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