Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 13 clicks

Oct 17 COHR $52B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 14 clicks

Oct 16 CRWV $34B

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 22 clicks

From X

@kab604 Sep 3

kab60 on X

One of these don't act like the others. $FIS should fix their industry classification. But I guess it's a nice hedge to holding $CSU.🤪 https://t.co/ffxHQNx8jc

@kab604 Sep 3

kab60 on X

I wonder how much Karp is paying him. $AIG must be a massive account, and with Palantir trading at a quadzillion x rev, Zaffino must've created a ton of value for Karp. Zaffino stepping down as CEO of $AIG to be 'head of financial services', but I bet the pay is better?

@kab604 Sep 3

kab60 on X

Zaffino always seemed completely Palantir-pilled. Now we know why. Wonder if $AIG might get their expenses in order if new management (although handpicked by Zaffino...) take it easy with all their Palantir consultants https://t.co/bGgocKEd9v

@convequity Sep 3

Convequity on X

Our model is a tracker but ultimately a forward valuation model using $ B/GW. If, for example, $AMZN is expected to bring a total of 16 GW online by end of 2028, and then there is a delay of some sort and this has been publicly disclosed somewhere, our next weekly update will catch this and adjust the timeline. This would adjust AMZN's forward valuation from 2 to 3 years out.

@finphysnerd Sep 2

Myles on X

I'm long a bit of $META. The ads business is just so absurdly good right now. At current valuation I'm willing to put up with the AI infra exposure that I'm not super excited about.

@buccocapital Sep 2

BuccoCapital Bloke on X

One under-discussed part of $SNOW story is how AI is accelerating migrations onto the platform Worth thinking through the winners and losers across the enterprise from massively lower friction to enter/exit platforms esp those who had complexity-based lock-in as a moat https://t.co/uPvv3Hl61D

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 2

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Yes, you are, the $GME valuation is insane. Very long $GME! https://t.co/dfSFkIUxR0

@valuedontlie Sep 2 1 click

Colin King on X

Am I thinking about $GME right? (ignoring recent convertible exchanges) 593m share count assumes all debt converts to equity x $19/sh = $11.3b market cap Less $10b net cash & ebay stock = $1.3b EV Trailing GAAP EBIT for underlying retail stores = $480m EV/EBIT at 2.7x

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

LA Capital Oct 16 9 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 17 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

GE Vernova: AI's Next Bottleneck Is Electricity

GE Vernova’s 116 GW gas-turbine backlog and $5 billion in early-2026 data-center orders target AI-driven electricity demand, though its…

GEV $240B

Todd Feldman Oct 16 4 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 13 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

LLY · long

LILLY (ELI) & CO

Eli Lilly trades at 33 times this year’s earnings and 26 times next year’s, versus roughly 12 times for big pharma peers.

LLY $1.2T

Value Investors Club Jul 18 3 clicks

Kraft Heinz: The Boring 2027 Long That Doesn't Need A Rich Multiple

Kraft Heinz expects brand investment and productivity gains to restore sales growth and protect 2027 margins against 4-5% cost inflation.

KHC $28B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 15 1 click

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 13 clicks

Berkshire B: Holding, Developing Headwinds Have Yet To Reflect In Stock Price, In My View

Berkshire Hathaway trades at 1.46 times book as reinsurance pricing pressure, softer P&C, concentrated equities and cash weigh on its…

BRK.A $1.1T

Pearl Gray Equity and Research Oct 15 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $212B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

TSMC reported excellent Q3 results, guided Q4 revenue growth higher and saw its shares slip despite strong AI-driven earnings momentum.

TSM $2.2T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 15 10 clicks

Why Broadcom Is My Largest Stock Holding Today

AVGO $1.6T

Fundamental Options Oct 15 4 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SBUX $113BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Nvidia’s Ian Buck says CUDA’s software ecosystem, GPU flexibility and annual Vera Rubin upgrades lower token costs as agentic AI pushes…

NVDA $5.2T

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 14 7 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

kab60 on X

kab60 on X

kab60 on X

Convequity on X

Myles on X

BuccoCapital Bloke on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Colin King on X

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