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Thursday, October 15, 2026

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Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 51 clicks

From X

@StableBread

Fajasy on X

Q2 2026 was the first quarter of positive FCF at Magna Mining $MGMNF (TSX: $NICU), but only because cash from March sales arrived in April. The quarter set Magna-era records for revenue and cash margin: → Revenue: US$21.5M, after the precious metals stream and higher smelting and refining charges. → Cash margin: Record US$6.4M, or US$1.41/payable lb, up from US$4.3M in Q1. → Operating cash flow: US$6.4M, including US$4.8M of March sales paid in April. → Free cash flow: US$3.7M, even though operating cash flow absorbed US$3.8M of exploration and evaluation spending, mostly at Levack, Magna’s flagship restart project. Adjusted for the US$4.8M of March sales paid in April, Q2 FCF was an outflow of ~US$1.2M, and H1 2026 as a whole was a US$10.5M outflow. At the mine level, McCreedy West (Magna’s producing mine) generated a US$10.8M cash margin in H1 2026, covering its US$3.6M of sustaining capital almost three times over. But Levack, corporate costs, interest, and working capital kept the company as a whole cash-negative. As of June 30, 2026, Magna held US$28.2M of cash. With net proceeds from Alpayana, the Peruvian mining group that bought 19.9% in August, the September deck puts cash at ~US$124M. Magna’s only debt is US$16.9M of unsecured 10% convertible notes due March 5, 2029, a third of which Dundee Corporation $DDEJF, a Toronto investment company, bought. They convert at CAD$2.00/share into 11.98M shares, or 3.8% of the current share count. Magna has funded itself mostly with equity, so the share count rose from 163.4M at the end of 2023 to 313.35M after Alpayana, up 91.8%. Options and share units add more. At June 30, Magna had 12.35M options at a weighted average exercise price of CAD$1.21 and 1.73M restricted and deferred share units. At CAD$2.45, 9.64M of the options are in the money, and exercising them would give Magna ~US$5.1M of cash. Counting the in-the-money options, the share units, and the notes, the diluted count is 336.70M (313.35M + 9.64M + 1.73M + 11.98M).
@BrokenMoats 2 clicks

Broken Moats on X

$DNA another perfectly rational move, happens daily across this low quality business, low quality balance sheet biotech tangential name space (ironically while actual biotech names sell off due to rates). My biggest question is why are these co. not raising $$$, all of them need money in this basket and their stock prices are up 100's% points in a very short period of time (few months). Wh not stretch the life of the company and fix the balance sheets?

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Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B
TSOH Investment Research 27 clicks
SPHR · long

Sphere Entertainment CO

Sphere Entertainment is shifting from construction and startup spending to a high-margin, cash-generative venue-operator model, with…

SPHR $3.7B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B
Latticework by MOI Global 14 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B
Latticework by MOI Global 13 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B
Asian Century Stocks 6 clicks

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