Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast 45h ago 84 clicks

37h ago NVDA $5.2T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 3 clicks

44h ago COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 17 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures 34h ago 2 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@orrdavid @merrillmatter To be fair, I asked you *a lot* of questions - $SPCX was far from the hardest! In response, you were fully transparent and didn’t dodge any of my questions. You were great. I can’t wait to share the full cleaned up transcript of our discussion, likely in early November.

@LaughingH20Cap 34h ago 5 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@bufetmastermind @secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty maybe i don't. I'd appreciate if you could explain. they had said 50% FCF margin on $1B in sales. $LQDA is still going to get to $1B in sales. Its just going to take longer. Tell me why 50% FCF margins are not in play. Bonus points if you can tell why they won't reduce costs

@HaydenCapital 36h ago 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Is Tiktok Shop slowing? J&T Express just reported SE Asia parcel volumes, and are flat for the year at ~31M per day for the last few qtrs. They're guiding to 50-55% full year growth, implying Q4 holiday season only ramps to 33-37M parcels. Evidence Shopee's VIP & logistics investments are working? $SE $1519.HK

@hkuppy 36h ago 1 click

Kuppy on X

I’m sure that $CRWV is money good on funding its gazillions of chip purchase orders, as long as someone funds $CRWV…🤭🤭 https://t.co/TOnS6iGurC

@BrokenMoats 38h ago 3 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Hottest trade in the past month.....retail stocks Seems odd with rates and oil and diesel moves over the same time frame. And these are not bounces from being oversold these are double digit moves in most cases to new highs while dpz struggled on their print this week, stocks like DKS collapsed around the time this trade started. Bifurcation in retail in recent weeks that seems to be favoring low quality. Something to watch for a reversal soon $KSS $FIGS $URBN $SHOP

@BlueDuckCap 38h ago 5 clicks

BDC on X

It's been 189 days since @evanspiegel had a confirmed sale. The longest sales void ever, per what we can discern from filings. He's in a blackout window now. If the sales do not resume post Q3 window opening then that would seem bullish. We would love an insider buy, too. Evan buys stock here we would think $SNAP is +10% on that day. At least. Not advice. Just pointing out the cadence of form 4's and lack of historical insider buying.

@ACapitalLP 38h ago 3 clicks

A Capital on X

$KYIV https://t.co/bGd6IJ4Xl0

@DeepSailCapital 40h ago 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

$DJT Downside still 100% from here https://t.co/6YIEeHfC3e

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $660B

Best Anchor Stocks 47h ago 22 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $731B

C Jessen Oct 14 35 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $359B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 27 clicks

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

Equity Eagle Oct 14 7 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $86BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 12 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 12 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 11 clicks

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

ASML $660B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 14 7 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $156B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 5 clicks

EFXT · long

Enerflex LTD

Enerflex, a $3 billion natural gas infrastructure and equipment company, blends contracted energy-services cash flows with equipment…

EFXT $3.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 19 4 clicks

GLP-1 winners and losers

GLP-1 drugs are gaining traction across Asia as Chinese developers advance candidates and Indian generics slash prices, reshaping prospects…

NVO $168B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 14 3 clicks

lululemon: A Fall From Grace, But I'm Still Holding On (Rating Downgrade)

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 3.2% and core product sales dropped 20%, while tariff refunds masked worsening Americas margins and comparable…

LULU $11B

Gytis Zizys Sep 14

Jensen Huang on the 'Irresponsible' AI Doomers, RSI, and Dario's Essay

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang calls AI extinction forecasts irresponsible and says frontier labs should fix safety failures through engineering,…

NVDA $5.2T

Key Context by Tae Kim Sep 14

Bloom Energy: Valuation Attractive, Buy This Dip

Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 revenue rose 165.5% as AI data-center demand lifted fuel-cell sales, prompting $3.9 billion to $4.2 billion…

BE $70B

Oakoff Investments Sep 14

No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot

Medtronic’s MiniMed split-off gives odd-lot MDT holders priority on a 7% discounted exchange, but a 4.5939-share cap has begun reducing the…

MDT $121BMMED $5.3B

Rod’s Ruminations Sep 14 4 clicks

Vera Rubin NVL72 Agentic Inference: 67x better Performance per Dollar

Nvidia’s Vera Rubin NVL72 delivers up to 67x better agentic inference performance per dollar than Blackwell, according to SemiAnalysis…

NVDA $5.2T

SemiAnalysis Sep 14

Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy

Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…

DUAVF $25B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 14 1 click

Meta’s Trojan Horse for the Consumer Internet

Meta’s Muse strategy targets the consumer internet through a Trojan-horse product.

META $1.9T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 14 1 click

Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $98B

Speedwell Memos Sep 14 2 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Kuppy on X

Broken Moats on X

BDC on X

A Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

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