Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Back to today

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7B
Yet Another Value Podcast 85 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach

Lee Roach on X

Owning timber REITs here seems like a no brainer. $RYN has an enterprise value of $7.4 billion. They own four million acres. You are buying this for $1,817 per acre. That is dirt cheap. Find me anywhere else you can own a large swath of land for $1,817 per acre. You can’t! The public market will punish RYN for owning a large amount of land. Lower valuation and will call it a value trap. But imagine the optionality of owning this large amount of land. Texas Pacific Land owned a large amount of land and look what happened to their stock price. One of the best performers ever. I’ve done well owning land banks. This one pays a fat dividend. Rare. Market is asleep at the wheel with their pants down and drooling.
@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

It takes courage to go against the current looking for opportunities that the market will not reward in the short-term. Times of turmoil is when we pay special attention to insiders and they led us to energy stock in mid-2020, regional banks in H1 2023, biotech companies in early 2025 and more recently SaaS stocks. While I don't have a position in $NOW, we did start positions in $CRM, $NAVN (partially exited) and more. Here is some of what I wrote about that decision to double down on SaaS in our July 2026 newsletter:
@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

The empire building at the Honeywell spinoff Solstice $SOLS came to an abrupt stop even before it started. In a highly unusual move, Solstice and Element Solutions $ESI decided to call off their merger. What makes this move particularly unusual is that neither party will have to pay a termination fee. In the words of Solstice Chairman Rajeev Gautam: "Following conversations with our shareholders and discussions between the parties, both Boards unanimously believe that it is in the best interests of our respective shareholders, employees and customers to terminate the merger agreement" The spread on this deal was as high as 9.13% at the end of last month. Solstice was up after hours yesterday on this news and is likely to post gains during the regular trading session today not just because shareholders are relieved this merger is over. Considering this was a cash plus stock deal with a majority of the payout in stock of Solstice, any arbs that want to unwind this trade will now have to buy shares of Solstice to close out the short leg of their merger arbitrage trade. This is one of the reasons I avoid "all stock" or "cash plus stock deals". You could end up getting hit on both sides of the trade when the stock of the target drops and the stock of the acquiring company spikes on deal termination. In this case, the premium paid for $ESI was about 15% and instead of the stock going up when the deal was announced, it actually fell due to the big drop in Solstice's stock. So we might not see a large drop in Element Solutions and it is possible it might even go up.

Investor Letters

All letters

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $3.1B
Trade Ideas Flow 4 clicks

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3B
Capitalist Letters 7 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks
PTRN · short

Pattern Group INC

Pattern Group is a fragile consumer business targeted on the short side.

PTRN $3.1B
Value Investors Club 3 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #10: 8 Oct 2026

US aluminium tariffs, European glass automation and Foraco’s constrained drilling fleet create multi-year pricing tailwinds, with Century…

CENX $3.4B
Trade Ideas Flow 2 clicks

Golar LNG q2’26 Operational Update

Golar LNG ordered a $2.45 billion fourth FLNG vessel, targeting 3.5MTPA of capacity and $400 million in annual EBITDA under a 20-year…

GLNG $4.7B
Monte Independent Investment Research

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

129 publications

Newsletters 107

YouTube 4

Blogs 17

Seeking Alpha 50 of 233

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

88 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

189 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.