October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Back to today 
From X
junkbondinvestor on X
“Good news. We got you your full $PSKY allocation.” https://t.co/oKKwqUnBNn
Barbarian Capital on X
Keurig Dr Pepper Hires Kimberly-Clark President Torres to Helm Coffee Spinoff $KDP $KMB https://t.co/8CPQhRReM4
Barbarian Capital on X
McCormick Is Working to Win Over Value-Conscious Shoppers $MKC https://t.co/cNn2B5biRP
Barbarian Capital on X
$HAS also moved up Barbie-Maker Mattel Draws Takeover Interest From Authentic Brands Group $MAT https://t.co/HZXNiDyOkj
Barbarian Capital on X
getting more interesting Nike Projects Sales Decline This Year After Lower First-Quarter Revenue $NKE https://t.co/pV51lJLbbK
Barbarian Capital on X
ON Semicondcutor to Buy Synaptics for Cash, Not Stock, in Downsized Deal $ON $SYNA https://t.co/ZBg5wXAYaX
Calvin Blissett on X
#1 report on $BMBL scuttlebutt in college Girl: “bumble is for old people and wierd” she used tinder for hu and hinge for “quality” Guy: “the gay one?” Went to go scroll on tinder
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
Is this bullish $PBI?? 🤣 https://t.co/mtBoKcxR8m
Investor Letters
All letters- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 ACI $6.3BFBIN $4.8B
- Fiduciary Management Q3 2026 CDW $19BJKHY $11B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd September 2026 CHDRF $85BSOAGY $17B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd Q3 2026 BSRT $179MCHRY $424M
- Latitude Investment Management Q3 2026 ADBE $98BNKE $52B
- Fenimore Asset Management Q3 2026 BN $82BMBGL $5.5B
- FPA Crescent Fund 3Q26 028260 $35BCHTR $13B
- Diranko Capital Q3 2026 AT $557MLFCR $244M
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…
Rubicon Associates 1 click
Research Roundup Vol. LVI
Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.
Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not
Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.
Lennar, Part One: The Story
Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…
Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive
Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.
Femasys: Launch Is Funded. If The Sales Force Delivers, Then The Company Is In Tall Cotton.
Femasys' $30 million PIPE funds its fertility and birth-control launch, with upside tied to OB/GYN sales execution and health-system wins.
Daron Evans 
Insider activity September 2026
Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…
Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)
Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…
SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews
BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
SRTA · long Strata Critical Medical INC
Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.
GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI
Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.
CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean
Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.
Vicor Update, Part Two
Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…
Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings
Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…
Expert Call | Nebius
Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…
The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides
Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…
Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
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