Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $544M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 22 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@junkbondinvest Aug 13

junkbondinvestor on X

Wow, $LESL 1L TL trading ~20 cents Operating picture much worse than expected and they just withdrew guidance Restructuring inevitable at this point https://t.co/nv7uYbpOVn

@BlueDuckCap Aug 13 1 click

BDC on X

Bingo. Executive order just signed to go into effect soon...domestic suppliers WIN. $MOB being FCC exempt, Blue UAS, and supplier to domestic OEMs like $TDY means they also win. And great quarter too...business is starting to inflect. https://t.co/Wj5fOsJxvh

@stockgutter Aug 13 2 clicks

SG on X

$INTU strong rebound. Not a zero like the bashers said. I'm long, covered by Jan 400 calls. https://t.co/yuYhxU6OIa

@eriksen_tim Aug 13 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

@ShmuelLon Good. That was my intention. It was less about the merits of $EVC in the future and more about recognizing that 1) we have to think about growth properly; and 2)we have to guard against thesis drift.

@junkbondinvest Aug 13

junkbondinvestor on X

Workday employees learning their new owner's first workstream will be headcount reduction $WDAY https://t.co/AIvTDIXGdo

@DOMOCAPITAL Aug 13

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Agreed, this was PCIs largest market.... this is an enormous win for $PBI ... I think PCI was might be the one's that were targeting Pitneys customers. Definitely didn't work out the way they thought it would. PBI should get a lot of customers back. PCI handles over a billion pieces nationally...

@ActAccordingly Aug 13

PAA Research on X

Many. High level, the $AIRS quarter wasn't as good as hoped, but certainly not something that warranted the kind of response it received. Top of the funnel interest in lipo slowed in June/July. I have my own thesis on the potential impact of the world cup, given the shift in consumer interest in that procedure towards the latina community over the past 15-years. Only time will tell if that's right. Either way, the business is stable and now oriented for growth. Adding new procedures (eye bleph and alloclae) significantly expands $AIRS ability to serve the GLP-1 crowd. My expectation is we'll see the bank deal completed before they report 3Q26 and that could coincide with the announcement of site expansion in early 2027. The growth opportunity here remains monumental. $AIRS has massive inherent operating leverage to improved site level utilization. There was some fast money and retail involved here (clearly!), but this is about the company improving the marketing funnel in absolute lead generation and conversion, driving site level utilization, and expanding on a de novo basis. That's the recipe and obsessing about whether growth should have been 2-4% higher for 2Q26 in that context is irrelevant. This is a business that can be 3-5x the size and still have a runway for growth.

@AsifSuria Aug 13

Asif Suria on X

Related from yesterday about the success rate of deal rumors like $WDAY: https://t.co/Ea5tx0kMx6

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Femasys: Launch Is Funded. If The Sales Force Delivers, Then The Company Is In Tall Cotton.

Femasys' $30 million PIPE funds its fertility and birth-control launch, with upside tied to OB/GYN sales execution and health-system wins.

FEMY $14M

Daron Evans Oct 14

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $415M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027

GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…

GTLB $9.2B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 13 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $46B

P Equity Research Oct 12 5 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $5.9BMBC $1.4B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 11 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

junkbondinvestor on X

BDC on X

SG on X

Tim Eriksen on X

junkbondinvestor on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

PAA Research on X

Asif Suria on X

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