Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $544M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 22 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap also worth noting that if $ANAB loses, maybe the stock goes down but future cash flows do not. Plan B is prob just sell the royalty stream, which is why the former CFO of $RPRX was added to the BOD 4 months ago. Heads win a ton. Tails you don't lose (if you can handle the vol)

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap agree ex-CEO statements are not +. However, statements from the GSK manager responsible for managing the $ANAB collaboration make it clear he thought GSK was in violation of the agreement. Not good for either side. Think sanctity of contract law has to come above all else though

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap 2/x)on the other hand, if $ANAB's position is upheld, it sucks for GSK, but contract law as a whole in DE continues to successfully govern the land as it has for centuries prior. Not clear to me that AI can consider the gravity of dismantling all of DE contract law...

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap 1/x)$ANAB also not a lawyer but seems to me that the implications of GSK's position would be catastrophic for contract law in DE if supported by the court. Effectively, any acquiror could disavow the obligations of a purchased subsidiary. Which seems "absurd" in the legal sense.

@ActAccordingly Jul 14

PAA Research on X

In light of this blow up at $PNR, it's kind of remarkable to me that $HAYW hasn't cracked at any point in the past 3-years. The stock trades in this slowly ascending channel between $12 and $16. Maybe that changes. I recognize it's a business people "want to own", but it's held a healthy multiple for a long time.

@marginofdanger Jul 14 2 clicks

marginofdanger on X

If a company is OTC listed and consistently reducing its share count, it seems like a high percentage of the time, it works out well... $MCEM $WEBC $APTL $FMBL $BWEL(?)

@OddDiligence Jul 14

Odd Diligence on X

$CCXI options start trading tomorrow

@Fierce__beast Jul 13 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

$MORN? https://t.co/pksTLRmJoS

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $415M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027

GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…

GTLB $9.2B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 13 1 click

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $46B

P Equity Research Oct 12 5 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $5.9BMBC $1.4B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 11 clicks

Quick Value #334 - Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…

FLO $1.3B

Value Don't Lie Oct 12 10 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

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