Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $556M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 20 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Sep 20

Deep Sail Capital on X

@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.

@OddDiligence Sep 20

Odd Diligence on X

@jukan05 Sounds like $PENG

@marginofdanger Sep 20 1 click

marginofdanger on X

Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.

@BillAckman Sep 20 2 clicks

Bill Ackman on X

An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

@Pau1R0b $RDDT will probably get more accounts + revenue from AI bots that act like human so I’d guess earnings beat. Changing public opinion with AI is really bad for democracy and long term platform health though.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

@cchronobreakk I mean Sam Altman was working on iris scan with his World project, so he probably saw it coming. But human verification is probably needed across the board now for each account. $RDDT doesn’t require much so platforms like that are first to be manipulated.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

The internet is now cooked soon? With $RDDT to other social media like X more at risk due to AI. You can have new decision models like Jev making autonomous computer interaction at near $0 cost. (With actions becoming more human-like/adapative) Then LLMs outputs influencing behavior or leading conversations. So at scale, a malicious actor can spawn 50,000,000 bots just roaming the internet, with LLM prompts convincing people + manufacturing public opinion. The main bottleneck would be phone number, IP, account age, maybe hardware for compute + device identifiers (which is extremely cheap still)… rather than LLM cost. I’ve already anecdotally seen short sellers use AI bots to spread negative misinformation about companies like $SIVE. Or bots market ____ account as the best one to follow in the comments. Or as seen with X uncovering 200+ bots manipulating debate about datacenter public opinion. But the scale might be exponentially worse soon. Scary to think about.

@calvinblissett Sep 20 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

@odynamite @mirror_mystery I run a concentrated portfolio and believe I have higher return opportunities. I have owned $KSPI for a while. I may buy some in small positions to scratch an itch

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 14 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 7 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $382M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027

GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…

GTLB $8.9B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 13 1 click

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $56B

P Equity Research Oct 12 5 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $6BMBC $1.4B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 11 clicks

Quick Value #334 - Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…

FLO $1.3B

Value Don't Lie Oct 12 8 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

Odd Diligence on X

marginofdanger on X

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