Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

Oct 14 HWM $88B

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Monte Independent Investment Research 14 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Sep 20 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK

@ChrisCamillo Sep 19

Chris Camillo on X

@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.

@TidefallCapital Sep 19 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.

@majgeoinvesting Sep 19 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

Was a good week for $MTW (cranes), up 10% this week. @mascarosergi recently pitched the stock in his written Q&A style Skull Sessions. Their increasing emphasis on service revenue is interesting, something a lot of construction type companies have been doing over the past few years. It’s the “magic formula” for construction companies, which can result in a huge expansion of historical valuation ratios. You’ve seen that in stocks like $STRL and $BDT.TO. The cool thing about this kind of set up is that a lot of investors won’t believe there will be a valuation re-rate in a cyclical industry, until it’s actually happened… then they’ll say it’s overvalued🤷 Watching closely. Thx Sergi..

@calvinblissett Sep 19 5 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@Smartonecapital Uh not many spots but gun to my head fertile hunting ground in the bigger names could be: $FICO, $BLDR, $KNSL. $PDD, $KSPI, $UBER. I have not looked into all extensively, some yes.

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

Nobert Lou crushed it on $NVR in the late 90s, his writeups under Charlie479 on VIC are mandatory reading. You will be a better investor after reading this and gain valuable mental models to overlay on interesting real life examples. Norbert invested in Burlington Northern before Buffett. Joel Greenblatt gave him money. His investment in Brahma profiled here is legendary and similar to Buffett with Coke. I lastly loved his mental models on TGS Nopec https://t.co/OZorTJIv9W

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

I’m always fascinated by the huge value in large caps and how to frame it. Buffett in $AAPL, $KO, $WFC historically. Terry Smith $DPZ. Ackman $CMG, $CP. $GOOG like a year and a half ago. Mohnish Pabrai called out $META a few years ago and it multi bagged. This is a useful example $MSFT in 2006.

@BarbarianCap Sep 19 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

"the aircraft flew 3,199 miles with no control inputs from its onboard safety pilot, including autonomous taxi, takeoff, cruise and landing" Joby Says it Completed First Fully Autonomous Flight Across the U.S. $JOBY https://t.co/nu2FMvE5qs

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 7 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 10 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

PTRN · short

Pattern Group INC

Pattern Group is a fragile consumer business targeted on the short side.

PTRN $3.1B

Value Investors Club Jul 15 3 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $56B

P Equity Research Oct 12 4 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $6B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 10 clicks

Q3 2026 Jenga IP Quarterly Letter

Jenga Global Master Fund returned 8.10% in Q3 2026, added Adobe and Mexican airports, and later initiated S&P Global.

ADBE $98B

Global Outperformers Oct 12 3 clicks

Howmet Aerospace: Strong Q2, But The Valuation Is Too Rich

Howmet Aerospace posted 24% Q2 revenue growth and 46% adjusted EPS growth, but HWM trades about 87% above a $120.69 DCF fair-value estimate.

HWM $88B

Alexander I. Velasquez Oct 12 2 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $3.1BUTHR $24B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE

Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…

GLBE $6.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 12 6 clicks

some thoughts on FICO

FICO’s mortgage credit-score monopoly sits at the center of a GSE-dominated U.S.

FICO $17B

scuttleblurb Oct 12 4 clicks

Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation

Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…

PENG $3.5B

Investor Overview Oct 12 5 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Barbarian Capital on X

Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

Maj Soueidan on X

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Calvin Blissett on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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