Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

CMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

Oct 14 HWM $88B

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Monte Independent Investment Research 14 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Aug 21

Deep Sail Capital on X

$MRNA - Who wants to hold this over the weekend after the week it had and potential secondary overhang?

@AsifSuria Aug 21

Asif Suria on X

Agreed. The spread for the $WBD deal is the lowest it has ever been since this saga started, except on day one. https://t.co/XiWxUbanLQ https://t.co/snmvnKZyor

@KEDM_COM Aug 21

KEDM.com on X

Synchrony Financial $SYF popped a new buyback to the tune of $6.5bn, roughly 24% of its market cap. This one has been and remains a true share cannibal. https://t.co/c4cbOsC4jk

@TidefallCapital Aug 21

Trevor Scott on X

$APP price now under when Muddy Waters released a short report on the stock last year. https://t.co/U3w8oUnomI https://t.co/SS1Mp9vjRi

@TimyanBankAlert Aug 21 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Deutsche Bank $DB freed from consent order in 2010s FX scandal https://t.co/BsHGBheaWK

@TidefallCapital Aug 21

Trevor Scott on X

$DECK back at multi year low valuations but concern is the classic value trap risk that margins and ROC are at cyclical peaks. Growth has really fallen off too from 15-18% in 2023-2025 to just 7% in 2026. https://t.co/jvT5HnDjnH

@TidefallCapital Aug 21

Trevor Scott on X

@GHadjia @MattJMcClintock Growth has been coming off fast at $DECK no? https://t.co/NvAKB2OyqN

@KEDM_COM Aug 21

KEDM.com on X

Global Payments $GPN approved a $2.5bn buyback, including a $550m in accelerated purchases, and expects to return over $2bn to shareholders in 2026. The target is still $7.5b in capital returns through 2027. Nice. And what’s also nice is the msd topline growth and 150bps margin expansion guided for this year. c. 6.5x 2026 EV/EBITDA.

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 7 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $56B

P Equity Research Oct 12 4 clicks

AMADF · long

Amadeus It Group SA

Amadeus IT Group turns long after shares fell more than 20% since a November short call.

AMADF $25B

Value Investors Club Jul 15 1 click

Q3 2026 Jenga IP Quarterly Letter

Jenga Global Master Fund returned 8.10% in Q3 2026, added Adobe and Mexican airports, and later initiated S&P Global.

ADBE $98B

Global Outperformers Oct 12 3 clicks

Howmet Aerospace: Strong Q2, But The Valuation Is Too Rich

Howmet Aerospace posted 24% Q2 revenue growth and 46% adjusted EPS growth, but HWM trades about 87% above a $120.69 DCF fair-value estimate.

HWM $88B

Alexander I. Velasquez Oct 12 2 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

UTHR $24B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Magna: International Expansion And Growing Margins

Magna International’s gross margin reached 14.7% and operating margin 5.6%, supporting double-digit earnings growth alongside EV investment…

MGA $18B

David Zanoni Oct 12 1 click

some thoughts on FICO

FICO’s mortgage credit-score monopoly sits at the center of a GSE-dominated U.S.

FICO $17B

scuttleblurb Oct 12 4 clicks

“Is Ralph Lauren Still Relevant?”

Ralph Lauren’s 2017 CEO change put Patrice Louvet in charge of reversing nine quarters of same-store sales declines and restoring the…

RL $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 12 1 click

53 Quality Stock Pitches (5th-11th October) 🖨️

Dassault Aviation leads a 53-pitch roundup with a €45 billion order book against €7.4 billion of sales and a 26.6% Thales stake.

DUAVF $26B

Capital Employed Oct 12 4 clicks

Figma (NYSE: FIG) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Figma’s Q2 revenue rose 48% to $370.1 million as AI credit adoption lifted retention to 136%; FY2026 revenue guidance increased to $1.463…

FIG $12B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 11 2 clicks

Rocket Lab: The Biggest Test In Its History Is Coming

Rocket Lab’s $2.36 billion backlog and Iridium acquisition support growth, but delayed Neutron testing, dilution and losses leave RKLB…

RKLB $35B

Bohdan Kucheriavyi Oct 11 7 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

Asif Suria on X

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Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

KEDM.com on X

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