Monday, October 12, 2026

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times trailing revenue.

RBRK $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

Oct 12 MU $1T

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

The Monetary Matters Network 9 clicks

Oct 12 CPB $5.9B

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Capital 11 clicks

From X

@HaydenCapital Feb 28 1 click

Fred Liu on X

$APP just up'd its Share Repurchase authorization. Rare to see a positive 8K drop, on a Friday afternoon... was worried for a second😅 https://t.co/XKfTEFkf4d https://t.co/516mtR8Xnd

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 1 click

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@catechwilliams Nov 13 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.

A Month with Muse

Meta’s Muse automated website fixes and design changes for a solo publisher, illustrating how $20-per-month AI agents can reduce…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 12 3 clicks

Quick Value #334 - Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…

FLO $1.3B

Value Don't Lie Oct 12 10 clicks

An Interview with Microsoft’s Scott Guthrie on Azure’s New AI Chip, ‘Insatiable’ AI Demand and Today’s AI Model Price War

Microsoft plans multi-gigawatt Azure Maia 300 deployments starting next year, targeting 40% more tokens per megawatt than leading GPU…

MSFT $4T

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 12 1 click

Q3 2026 Jenga IP Quarterly Letter

Jenga Global Master Fund returned 8.10% in Q3 2026, added Adobe and Mexican airports, and later initiated S&P Global.

ADBE $100B

Global Outperformers Oct 12 3 clicks

Howmet Aerospace: Strong Q2, But The Valuation Is Too Rich

Howmet Aerospace posted 24% Q2 revenue growth and 46% adjusted EPS growth, but HWM trades about 87% above a $120.69 DCF fair-value estimate.

HWM $88B

Alexander I. Velasquez Oct 12 2 clicks

Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE

Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…

GLBE $6.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 12 6 clicks

some thoughts on FICO

FICO’s mortgage credit-score monopoly sits at the center of a GSE-dominated U.S.

FICO $17B

scuttleblurb Oct 12 4 clicks

Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation

Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…

PENG $3B

Investor Overview Oct 12 5 clicks

“Is Ralph Lauren Still Relevant?”

Ralph Lauren’s 2017 CEO change put Patrice Louvet in charge of reversing nine quarters of same-store sales declines and restoring the…

RL $23B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 12 1 click

H&R REIT, an opportunity in a corrupt process

H&R REIT's proposed GO Residential transaction faces investor opposition over rejected $12.50 cash bids, insider benefits and tax…

GONYF $499M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Oct 12 2 clicks

Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL) Stock Rating: HOLD After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Marvell’s Q2 revenue rose 37% to $2.74 billion, with data centers contributing 79%, while FY1/27 guidance targets roughly $12 billion in…

MRVL $212B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 1 click

53 Quality Stock Pitches (5th-11th October) 🖨️

Dassault Aviation leads a 53-pitch roundup with a €45 billion order book against €7.4 billion of sales and a 26.6% Thales stake.

DUAVF $25B

Capital Employed Oct 12 4 clicks

DB · long

Deutsche Bank AG

Deutsche Bank trades at 1.0x tangible book, with projected ROTCE above 13% and a favorable setup ahead of earnings.

DB $60B

Value Investors Club Jul 14

Figma (NYSE: FIG) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Figma’s Q2 revenue rose 48% to $370.1 million as AI credit adoption lifted retention to 136%; FY2026 revenue guidance increased to $1.463…

FIG $12B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 11 2 clicks

The Tragedy of 3D XPoint (AKA Intel Optane AKA Micron QuantX)

3D XPoint, sold as Intel Optane and Micron QuantX, failed against NAND economics despite DRAM-like latency and may regain value for…

INTC $491BMU $1T

Irrational Analysis Oct 11 1 click

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…

FNMA $4.4B

Cassandra Unchained Oct 11 5 clicks

Rocket Lab: The Biggest Test In Its History Is Coming

Rocket Lab’s $2.36 billion backlog and Iridium acquisition support growth, but delayed Neutron testing, dilution and losses leave RKLB…

RKLB $30B

Bohdan Kucheriavyi Oct 11 7 clicks

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3.1B

Capitalist Letters Oct 11 7 clicks

Glaukos: Steep Premium For New Therapies And Growth

Glaukos is expanding from glaucoma devices into sustained drug delivery and corneal cross-linking, but GKOS's premium valuation leaves…

GKOS $9.7B

Myriam Alvarez Oct 11 4 clicks

A temporary glitch?

Coupang’s November 2025 cybersecurity breach tests whether a selloff is temporary despite its 28% Korean e-commerce share, 14 million-plus…

CPNG $26B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 11 10 clicks

Monday, October 12, 2026

Fred Liu on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Voss Capital on X

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