Sunday, October 11, 2026

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into common stock.

FNMA $4B

Cassandra Unchained Oct 11 4 clicks

Oct 11 INTR $3.3B

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Capitalist Letters 7 clicks

Oct 10 HIPO $906M

Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money

Substack von Philipp 8 clicks

From X

@Fierce__beast Oct 11 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

who is long $woof here? https://t.co/H0SfjxEAjR

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 11 2 clicks

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with Chris Colvin of @BreachInletCap Tickers discussed include $BKTI, $PRG, $BATRK, $LRN, and $HGV Enjoy! https://t.co/sY3RpWR3hz

@ACapitalLP Oct 11

A Capital on X

Cal is very smart, especially as it pertains to $NN - would listen… https://t.co/7BAS7on13l

@ACapitalLP Oct 11 1 click

A Capital on X

Two event-driven levered equities I’m thinking about this weekend: $XRX and $SVC. $XRX seems simple on paper. Monetize XFS, delever and unlock substantial equity value. But if it’s that obvious, why hasn’t Icahn’s guy done it in eight years? The recent TPG IP monetization suggests they’re willing to get creative, so what’s preventing an XFS transaction? $SVC is potentially more interesting. If the board accepts TKO’s $2bn hotel portfolio offer, you’re creating the remaining net lease portfolio at a very attractive valuation with significant equity torque from deleveraging. My biggest question is whether TKO actually has the financing commitments to close… Thoughts welcome.

@Fierce__beast Oct 11

Fierce_beast on X

$evlv adoption doesn't matter if it's arriving at bad economic terms. anything can be adopted if a company is subsidizing it for example. i care about at whether the adoption is economically profitable and if that economic profit has a long and sustainable runway it doesn't seem like that's the case with $evlv

@Fierce__beast Oct 11

Fierce_beast on X

for $evlv unfortunately it seems the economics of their incremental customer wins are margin dilutive as they are trying to continue growing while competitors are catching up https://t.co/WOBgds8M4K

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 11 1 click

Farmer on X

@ptuomov doesn't make many macro-y calls but he's 2 for 2 in the ones I've seen him make. Will be hedging my $LPRE position tomorrow. https://t.co/UPoDemQbXW

@ACapitalLP Oct 11

A Capital on X

@richtrades100 Yo $KYIV? https://t.co/KPar8yzxlq

Brazil Potash: Bull Case Is Starting To (Slowly) Bloom

Brazil Potash has secured court support and a power agreement, but financing, dilution and potash-price-sensitive EBITDA remain central…

GRO $130M

Wolf Report Oct 10 3 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 9 3 clicks

Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…

BXSL $6.6B

Rubicon Associates Oct 9 1 click

Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model

Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…

HY $573M

Calvin Blissett Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 2 clicks

OceanaGold: A Debt-Free Gold Miner Priced Below Its Mines, With Its Best One Still Being Dug

OceanaGold trades below its mine value despite US$655 million of cash and no debt, with production set to dip before Wharekirauponga begins…

OGC $5.7B

The Bullionaire Oct 9 1 click

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.1B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 6 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Note

Namib Minerals posted H1 adjusted EBITDA of $19.0 million, up 76%, as higher gold prices offset lower production.

NAMM $55M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 8 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

GEO $4.1BUAA $2.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

MRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

EPM · long

Evolution Petroleum CORP

Evolution Petroleum (EPM) is presented as a long position.

EPM $151M

Value Investors Club Jul 12 1 click

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.6B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.2B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

Ladder Capital: Grab This Diversified, Investment-Grade Mortgage REIT At Below Book Value

Ladder Capital trades below book value with high yield, but faces margin pressure and office-loan exposure despite diversified funding and…

LADR $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 1

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.7B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $598M

The Mikro Kap Oct 1 3 clicks

Sunday, October 11, 2026

Fierce_beast on X

Idea Brunch on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

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Fierce_beast on X

Farmer on X

A Capital on X

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