Saturday, October 10, 2026

Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money

Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier and MGA fee income.

HIPO $903M

Substack von Philipp Oct 10 5 clicks

Oct 9 GLNG $4.9B

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks

Oct 9 AMD $1.1T

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) Stock Rating: Hold Into Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@pitdesi Oct 2 1 click

Sheel Mohnot on X

I trimmed an $NVDA position yesterday that I’ve held since 2017 and already have extreme seller’s remorse that I did something dumb Moved 1/4 of the position into an exchange fund, the remainder is ~15% of my liquid portfolio.

@negligible_cap Oct 2

Negligible Capital on X

*NVIDIA SHARES RISE 2.5% TO HIT FIRST RECORD HIGH SINCE MAY Where to now? Back at 25x earnings, market cap is now $5.7 Trillion - all time intra-day high for $NVDA https://t.co/wNQJpMx7LT

@convequity Oct 2

Convequity on X

$NVDA is still the cheapest way to produce AI tokens when 150 or more users share one batch. When one user wants the fastest possible answer, the economics change. Our Cerebras note puts the rule in two parts. 1. NVIDIA is the cheapest token factory when 150+ concurrent users share one batch and each user gets a moderate speed. 2. To maximise speed for a single user, the batch has to shrink, so the system's total output falls. That loses money per token unless the faster answers are sold at a higher price. Cerebras ($CRBS) sits at the other end. Its wafer-scale chip gives fast answers to a single user and reaches its best efficiency at 4 users. Like a taxi, it is quick and direct, but it has fewer seats to spread the cost across. The two also differ in how much room each has left to improve. SRAM-based designs like Cerebras have already captured most of their performance upside. GPU fleets often run at low compute utilization today, and that gap is room for future gains and economies of scale, not a permanent cost. So fast inference only pays if customers will pay more for speed. Our view is that a sizeable portion of the market will pay a premium for speed.

@TidefallCapital Oct 2 3 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

$FICO CEO made more comp than $NVDA CEO the past 3 years. Lansing will be fired within 90 days and be immortalized in MBA case studies as the CEO who figured out how to blow up a government mandated monopoly. https://t.co/oyjbp6o9ma

@ACapitalLP Oct 2 1 click

A Capital on X

History will be kind to me for I intend to write it. $OWL https://t.co/J0bP2zt3CO

@kab604 Oct 2

kab60 on X

@CurryorNothing @JerryCap Isaacman could roll his stake, get rid of skittish public mkt investors, lever up to take advantage of the downturn across fintechs and then flip his stake down the line to a strategic when narrative has changed. That's what I'd do. Fiserv, $GPN - everyone in the penalty box. .

@kab604 Oct 2 1 click

kab60 on X

@CurryorNothing @JerryCap It's an easy PE target. Can run with higher leverage and take advantage of bombed out fintech sector, international story just starting to play out. And there's the non-zero chance $GPN is gonna $GPN when stock has re-rated.

@kab604 Oct 2

kab60 on X

@fundingregime @aurelius28 "It's a quagmire when you look at it just from the outside in because there's not that many providers in this space. So you would think there'd be a lot more pricing power than there is ... I just don't see pricing being a mechanism where it'd be like a 2% to 4% grower"- $FIS CEO

Investor Letters

All letters

BREAKING: Muse Growth Slows as Downloads Fall

Meta’s Muse saw downloads fall 8.1% week over week, while daily user additions slowed 62.4% to about 74,000 in early October.

META $1.8T

Hunterbrook Oct 9 2 clicks

Synopsys (NASDAQ: SNPS) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE Ahead Of Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Synopsys moved to Distribute after Q3 revenue rose 42% on Ansys, while organic growth was 7% and the stock traded at 11.1 times trailing…

SNPS $97B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 9 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/09/2026)

Paramount Skydance’s debt-heavy Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, streaming bundle pricing and alcohol-industry diversification anchor…

WBD $78B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 9

Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…

BXSL $6.6B

Rubicon Associates Oct 9

Consumer agents: an ethics race, a prisoner’s dilemma, and the obvious OTA short

Consumer agents create an ethics race among AI labs and a prisoner’s dilemma for retailers, with online travel agencies framed as an…

EXPE $31BBKNG $119B

Yet Another Value Blog Oct 9 2 clicks

Alphabet: The Search Engine Everyone Wrote Off Is Now Building the AI Economy and takes the lead in LLM´s again?

Alphabet pairs 17% Search growth, 82% Cloud growth and 500,000 weekly Waymo rides with a $195–205 billion AI capex plan.

GOOGL $4.3T

Substack von Philipp Oct 9 2 clicks

Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model

Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…

HY $582M

Calvin Blissett Oct 9 1 click

AppLovin: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy Following The Recent Pullback

AppLovin's Ads Manager targets middle-market e-commerce advertisers as Q3 guidance calls for 47% sales growth, while legal and compute-cost…

APP $93B

Jack Elias Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $5.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 1 click

GoDaddy: The AI Transition Is Messy, But I'm Still Buying

GoDaddy’s Airo bookings run-rate rose from $10 million to $50 million in one quarter, but legacy Applications & Commerce declines still…

GDDY $13B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Oct 9 2 clicks

BNTC · long

Benitec Biopharma INC

Benitec Biopharma's BB-301 gene therapy is in a Phase 1b/2a trial for an ultra-rare muscular dystrophy.

BNTC $314M

Value Investors Club Jul 12

Deckers: A 9% Earnings Yield With Q2 Approaching

Deckers trades at 11x forward earnings with $1.6 billion cash, no debt and aggressive buybacks, as HOKA growth and UGG profitability…

DECK $11B

TQP Research Oct 9 4 clicks

What If Pabrai Had Just Sat on His Ass? Every Idea He Ever Bought, Held Forever.

Mohnish Pabrai’s 69 quarterly filings are rebuilt into a never-sell portfolio, including Horsehead, Berkshire, Alphabet, Ferrari and…

MA $503B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 9 5 clicks

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.1B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 5 clicks

Boyz in the Hood

Robinhood’s AI agents, 24/7 equity trading and 10:1 crypto perpetual futures encourage higher retail trading velocity, leverage and…

HOOD $98B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 8

Namib Minerals: Research Note

Namib Minerals posted H1 adjusted EBITDA of $19.0 million, up 76%, as higher gold prices offset lower production.

NAMM $62M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 8

Lowe's: Patience Can Be Rewarded With Environment Unlikely To Worsen (Upgrade)

Lowe’s trades at 15x earnings after a 23% decline, with weak housing and high rates pressuring growth while inventory discipline supports…

LOW $106B

Seeking Profits Oct 8

The Uranium Cycle Is Turning Up: In Conversation with YCA & Cameco

Yellow Cake and Cameco say U.S. utilities have contracted only 40% of 2030 uranium needs, setting up a new contracting cycle as…

CCJ $38B

Aurelion Research Oct 8 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

STZ $21BGEO $4.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

LEN $18BMRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Sheel Mohnot on X

Negligible Capital on X

Convequity on X

Trevor Scott on X

A Capital on X

kab60 on X

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kab60 on X

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