Monday, October 5, 2026

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

POOL $5.7B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Oct 5 INTR $3B

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Substack von Philipp 6 clicks

Oct 4 GPI $2.9B

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Cannibal Stocks 4 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 1/x) agree- same objectors in different clothing. We need real world tests to prove/disprove interference - $NN has been calling for those tests for 2 years b/c they know the answer. An NPRM can force testing. The real question though is why does RFID need 902-928 MHz?

@MultiplesCap Apr 22

Multiples Capital on X

If a regional "racino" is worth 9.4x, what is Bellagio and MGM Macao worth? $MGM

@MultiplesCap Apr 22

Multiples Capital on X

Interesting to see the recent price action in $MGM, is the market finally waking up to the massive valuation gap? Trading at ~6.0x EV/EBITDAR (using standard rent multiples) Private Reality: The Northfield Park exit closed at a ~9.4x implied EBITDAR multiple Sector Anchor: Current buyout offers for $CZR setting a peer floor at ~9.5x. Management is effectively shorting this spread, divesting regional assets at 9x+ and buying back it's own shares, outstanding shares down 50% over last 5 years. #ubercannibal

@DOMOCAPITAL Apr 22

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Sidoti raises $PBI price target to $20: https://t.co/d1B7rmSGYC

@mavix_leon Apr 22 2 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO Q1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues -1.5% *Live Casino -3.2% *RNG +8.2% ▫️EBITDA -1.9% ▫️EBITDA margin of 65.4% (vs. 65.6%) ▫️Profit -1.1% ▫️EPS +2.1% ▫️OCF -4.3% ▫️Europe decline continues die to regulation, while other regions show good progress https://t.co/0HkW1HexzA

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

Fantastic report. Huge value proposition for POS originators, very scalable. RBDT could become a meaningful part of the business (cherry on top), but its comparatively more difficult to underwrite. I’m happy to hold my shares just for the RPP growth potential. Long $VBNK https://t.co/8DuwRpY8gt

@ToffCap Apr 21 1 click

ToffCap on X

Roughly one year and >500% later 🔥🔥 $NKTR https://t.co/sDDj8XfxkL

@1MainCapital Apr 20

Yaron Naymark on X

$CAR almost a 6-bagger in a month https://t.co/qxM6F5h1Fi

Howard Hughes: Still Attractive Despite Risks Of Rapid Transition

Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…

HHH $4.1B

Gary Gambino Oct 3 3 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

MRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

IRDM $4.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.1B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.5B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

HRVFF · long

Harvia Oyj

HRVFF $937M

Value Investors Club Jul 7 2 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

NIO $8.7B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $1.9B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.2B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

Ladder Capital: Grab This Diversified, Investment-Grade Mortgage REIT At Below Book Value

Ladder Capital trades below book value with high yield, but faces margin pressure and office-loan exposure despite diversified funding and…

LADR $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 1

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $606M

The Mikro Kap Oct 1 5 clicks

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

QMCO $1B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1

NASDAQ:YB 10% dividend, 2x P/E, 30% growth, AI beneficiary, secular tailwinds, founder CEO I think is as good as Bezos/Walton

Yuanbao pairs a 10.2% dividend and cash exceeding its market value with 33.5% first-half profit growth from AI-enabled Chinese insurance…

YB $531M

Calvin Blissett Sep 30 4 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

mavix on X

Little Owl Research on X

ToffCap on X

Yaron Naymark on X

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