Saturday, October 3, 2026

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW Louisiana data center.

META $1.8TMS $294B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Oct 2 EVI $238M

EVI Industries. Margin inflection or fake out?

Kairos Research 2 clicks

Oct 2 LEN $18B

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 22

Negligible Capital on X

One of the better parts about Muse taking off like this for $META is that Watermelon can now be a total flop and no one will care. The bar has now been essentially removed. Who cares if $META can’t make a frontier coding model anymore if they win consumer? If Watermelon does exceed expectations, that’s pretty much just house money

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 22

Laughing Water Capital on X

@310Value reminder that $APG pfd A stock, by which the holders get paid hedge fund-like incentive comp based on year end share price, will be converted at year end. Management/board are well incentivized to do everything they can to juice the stock price into year end.

@majgeoinvesting Sep 22 2 clicks

Maj Soueidan on X

Here’s a video from $RFIL website on how their DAC (direct air cooling) product works in large enclosures. In theory, $PSIX might be an interesting channel partner if they have an “at the edge” enclosure presence. DAC is not a hyperscaler solution, but the “edge”is heating up. https://t.co/h8EScDrBlo

@leevalueroach Sep 22

Lee Roach on X

Here is my slide on $GME four wall economics. $1.9 million of sales per store. $580k of EBITDA at a 30% margin. Corporate SG&A only $64k per store as Ryan Cohen has slashed costs and is running this like a startup. These unit economics are stunning. This is why they are beginning to reopen stores again after shutting down 5,000. The payback is less than a year. Wait until the drooling suits figure this out. Management is buying in size, this is one of the reasons. More info: https://t.co/Re7vRQ6uHG

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The franchisee in bankruptcy also pointed to the reduced effectiveness of Wendy’s brand marketing and national promotional strategies. $WEN they gonna stop trian? https://t.co/oFWD9DSqud https://t.co/WyL5iMVgs8

@kab604 Sep 22 1 click

kab60 on X

@aurelius28 What do you think they needs to change? I honestly don't think much has changed (apart from valuation) in the case of $FIS and $JKHY (which is too expensive). $FISV seems to have real issues. But despite all the complaints, industry seems to be fine, stickiness high as hell.

@kab604 Sep 22 2 clicks

kab60 on X

$FIS keep pumping, mkt ain't buying it: https://t.co/EPq99nXOmZ https://t.co/u1KVlLvuCO https://t.co/yUGBPTnvRa

@convequity Sep 22 9 clicks

Convequity on X

Three planar generations of Kirin added 150 MHz in total. The first folded one added 350 MHz in a single step, on the same non-EUV process. How Huawei did it, and why it matters for $NVDA, $AVGO and the Western toolmakers. https://t.co/pzpPjCUIJ7

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/02/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Meta’s AI agent ambitions, Netflix’s TV gaming strategy and Arc’teryx’s rise from $500 million to more than $2…

META $1.8TNFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 2 3 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #16: Huckleberry.AI (HUCK)

Huckleberry.AI trades near $3.30 against $221 million of cash and $900 million-plus of NOLs after selling its operating business, creating…

HUCK $147M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 2 5 clicks

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $125B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40BIRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

AEGXF · long

Aecon Group Inc.

Aecon Group’s long thesis targets 50-80% share-price upside over 6-12 months as the company shifts beyond a complex special situation.

AEGXF $2.6B

Value Investors Club Jul 5 3 clicks

ServiceNow: Still A 'Strong Buy' As AI Revenues Gain Traction

ServiceNow expects AI annual contract value to reach $1.5 billion by year-end, with assist-pack consumption pricing supporting growth…

NOW $145B

Jetstream Research Oct 2 1 click

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $267B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 2 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

Anthropic spent $2.75 per revenue dollar in 2025 and committed $518 billion to compute, while AI debt at CoreWeave, Oracle and data-center…

AVGO $1.7T

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 1 2 clicks

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.5B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Nvidia argues A100, H100 and B200 GPUs retain value beyond five-year depreciation schedules, reviving comparisons with the 1960s…

NVDA $5.5T

Cassandra Unchained Oct 1 8 clicks

Saturday, October 3, 2026

Negligible Capital on X

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