Saturday, October 3, 2026

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW Louisiana data center.

META $1.8TMS $294B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Oct 2 LEN $18B

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

Oct 2 META $1.8T

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/02/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 3 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Oct 3 2 clicks

Myles on X

Adding long exposure (through $IWM and $RSP mainly) makes me feel sick, which backs up my belief that the timing is good to add long exposure.

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 2 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@TSOH_Investing this is what $nke tried to do unsuccessfully

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 3 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@realroseceline Kind of crazy that $APP was at a quarter trillion market cap

@blondesnmoney Oct 3 1 click

Cluseau Investments on X

For the $GOOGL haters, Gemini 4 Argon now topping leaderboards for Text, Math, Instruction Following, Creative Writing, even Coding, at 20% of the cost of Fable 5 High https://t.co/BHxOkqQ6Hg

@irbezek Oct 3 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@SayNoToTrading @YehiaElgohary Would need to do a stock split, $1000 share price ruins a price-weighted index. $TXN has to get in on one of these Dow additions eventually.

@leevalueroach Oct 3 3 clicks

Lee Roach on X

You can't find the Switch Two Zelda Edition anywhere. It is sold out at GameStop $GME. This 40th Anniversary game for Ocarina of Time is going to sell so much hardware and accessories. And then you have GTA 6 coming out too. Insiders at GameStop are loading up on shares like crazy. They see internal sales and how much money they are about to print.

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

$LULU peaked at 14x EV/S and 82x NTM PE in 2020. $NKE EBITDA margin has collapsed from 18% in 2021 to 10.7% today. https://t.co/qF1yYC18dz

@MaiusPartners Oct 2 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $125B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $269B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 2 clicks

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

Anthropic spent $2.75 per revenue dollar in 2025 and committed $518 billion to compute, while AI debt at CoreWeave, Oracle and data-center…

AVGO $1.7T

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 1 2 clicks

Regeneron And Sanofi Announce A Win-Win Collaboration Expansion

Regeneron and Sanofi expanded their antibody partnership, giving REGN $1 billion upfront, up to $7 billion in milestones and a 50:50 global…

REGN $79BSNY $96B

ONeil Trader Oct 1

China's Kimi K3 AI Model May Trigger a DeepSeek Moment. Expect a Lot of FUD.

Moonshot’s 2.8 trillion-parameter Kimi K3 is a China AI challenger that requires high-memory Nvidia servers and heavy inference compute.

NVDA $5.5T

Key Context by Tae Kim Jul 17

ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power

ASML’s 2Q’26 commentary signals a shift from measured pricing toward flexing its chip-equipment pricing power.

ASML $693B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 16 2 clicks

Rotork Acquired for a Huge Premium

ABB agreed to buy Rotork for 503 pence a share, a 73% premium, valuing the U.K.

ABBNY $171B

Flyover Stocks Jul 16

Nothing Beats a Jet2....investment?

Jet2’s £4.5bn A321neo fleet renewal will constrain free cash flow through 2032, despite strong package-holiday growth, cash reserves and…

RYAAY $27B

Brevarthan Research Jul 16

[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China

Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…

SNPS $97B

scuttleblurb Jul 16 2 clicks

Thinking Notes

AI capex rests on coding-centric benchmarks, cheap-model commoditization and circular financing: OpenAI’s $60 billion annual Oracle…

NVDA $5.5TORCL $429B

Bearstone Jul 16

Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer

PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.

PYPL $47B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Jul 15

Rebound Watchlist: July 2026

Rebound Capital's July 2026 watchlist puts AeroVironment and Coinbase under review after UnitedHealth rose more than 70% from its low.

COIN $47B

Rebound Capital Jul 15

Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival

Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…

ABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 15 3 clicks

New Position: Volatility Merchant

A digital market-infrastructure platform dominant in rates and expanding in credit trades at 22 times free cash flow, with 45%+ FCF margins…

TW $26B

Aurelion Research Jul 14

Saturday, October 3, 2026

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Cluseau Investments on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

Trevor Scott on X

Maius on X

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