Wednesday, September 30, 2026

The Next Consumer is a Computer

Meta’s Muse illustrates how persistent AI agents shift compute from per-query to per-user, driving heavier GPU, CPU and memory demand.

META $1.8TNVDA $5.5T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 30 6 clicks

Sep 30 CVX $407B

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) Stock Rating: Move To Distribute After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Near-Peak Margins And The Iran War

Cestrian Capital Research

Sep 30 MU $1.2T

Micron (NASDAQ: MU) Stock Rating: Hold After Q4 FY8/26 Earnings - No Change To Rating

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@convequity Sep 30

Convequity on X

$PANW and $DDOG both put something real inside the customer's systems that an AI lab cannot recreate by calling SaaS APIs. Palo Alto's install is still harder to replace with AI. 1. Datadog's agents mostly sit outside the traffic and watch production. A bad agent version rarely takes the business down the way a bad firewall rule can. 2. Palo Alto's firewalls and SASE cloud gateways sit inside the traffic and decide what to allow, deny, decrypt or inspect. A wrong allow or deny hits live traffic and live machines. 3. Many Datadog users start the day in a coding agent and open Datadog when something looks wrong. Many Palo Alto users start in its console and stay there through alerts, triage and response. For them, an outside AI agent is an add-on. Cybersecurity work splits two ways on AI risk. Work done before code ships ("shift-left") or from outside the traffic, such as scanning code, checking cloud settings and sorting collected alerts, gives answers that are easy to check. AI agents are already taking over more of it. Work in live traffic and on live machines ("shift-right") means judging whether an attacker is still inside and whether blocking them is safe. That is more ambiguous and mistakes cost more, so enterprises move slower and demand earned trust. Palo Alto is not risk-free. In our view its exposure is the easily checked detection and vulnerability work inside its platform, which AI agents can take over sooner. The threat is not an AI-native firewall startup.

@pitdesi Sep 30

Sheel Mohnot on X

These benchmarks are great, but I'm waiting to see how it does in the bridge benchmark :) also - probably should be long $GOOG https://t.co/5hdtMmiq4H https://t.co/4B1R4VX3J5

@negligible_cap Sep 30

Negligible Capital on X

Gemini 4 - "Across most benchmarks, Gemini 4 Argon beats OpenAI’s and Anthropic’s top models by a wide margin, and when it doesn’t, it is generally within striking distance of its competition." - New Stack $GOOG ripping. So back https://t.co/3mF0pFC7WN https://t.co/hybzgxCRRC

@ActAccordingly Sep 30

PAA Research on X

Following the action in $FICO, it seems this post from @pulte has drawn increased investor attention to $STC $FAF $ORI $FNF and their title insurance pricing policies. We have had a short call on $STC and $FAF for some time. There's no doubt there are several technology options that could lower title insurance costs (AI) if not eliminate the need for it altogether (blockchain). You already have many brokers offering bundled solutions for title, mortgage, and advisory. Lots of pressure on these busineses.

@TidefallCapital Sep 30

Trevor Scott on X

@WallStRollup Somebody call Steve Carell $FICO https://t.co/5Jbu90YpSL

@irbezek Sep 30

Ian Bezek on X

@NthObject89773 @pradeeepk Given $APP's sketchy history of using data, rather ironic that they would complain about a little turnaround of their tactics.

@finphysnerd Sep 30

Myles on X

Corporates (spreads are tight, if this gets rly bad spreads should blow out). Long breadth, consumer exposure and small caps through stuff like $IWM, $RSP, $XSHQ, $RSPD. Short the narrow winners like $QQQ, $SMH, $AAPL, $CRWD, $ILMN, $NBIS. Also shorting long crowded bio longs

@SowingAlphaSeed Sep 30 1 click

Farmer on X

@svrnco @ASchulz888 @irbezek Hmm... $TLT implied vol is <15% for the January '29 expiry. Looks like an ATM straddle pays off if rates move by at least 1.5 percentage points in either direction. Probably not a bad trade.

Why AMD Is the Most Overhyped Chip Stock | Ben Pouladian on Meta’s Muse, Anthropic IPO, & Semis

Ben Pouladian argues AMD’s Helios racks cannot match NVIDIA GPUs’ fungibility and financing appeal as agentic AI shifts the bottleneck to…

AMD $1TNVDA $5.5T

The Monetary Matters Network Sep 30 4 clicks

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $31B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 2 clicks

Microsoft: The Xbox Segment Revamp

Microsoft plans to rebuild Xbox after FY2026 through studio cuts, higher hardware prices, Game Pass growth, exclusive releases and the 2028…

MSFT $3.8T

Khaveen Investments Sep 30 2 clicks

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

The Case for Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta’s Enterprise Platform creates a third-party compute outlet, reducing the cost of overbuilding AI infrastructure while adding…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 29 1 click

Joby Vs. Archer: The Race Is No Longer About Who Certifies First

Archer Aviation's Insitu, Wisk and SkyGrid acquisitions add military and drone revenue, cutting FAA-certification dependence and leaving…

BA $152B

The Alpha Analyst Sep 29 2 clicks

Jensen Huang Press Q&A: 'Nvidia Stock Is Undervalued'

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says the company will buy back hundreds of billions of dollars of stock in coming years.

NVDA $5.5T

Key Context by Tae Kim Sep 29 4 clicks

Pfizer: Growth Portfolio And Cost Cuts Support A Buy Through The LOE Trough

Pfizer’s new products and $9.7 billion cost-cut plan target earnings support through COVID normalization and patent expiries, alongside a…

PFE $160B

Value Capital Research Sep 29

Thoughts of the Week - June 28, 2026

OpenAI and Anthropic's IPO ambitions collide with AI-driven memory shortages that Apple says are forcing product price increases.

AAPL $4.8TMU $1.2T

Kakashii's Materials Jun 28

$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest

Fox’s $22 billion Roku deal cut FOXA 25%, but Simeon McMillan argues Roku’s streaming-TV reach, advertising upside and synergies make the…

FOX $24B

Yet Another Value Blog Jun 28 1 click

Staying the course on H&R REIT

H&R REIT’s renewed talks with Blackstone cover some assets, following office and U.S.

BX $84B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jun 27

SAP: DCF Valuation

SAP’s DCF valuation sets a $260 base-case target versus a $155.09 ADR price, based on cloud migration, AI efficiencies and expanding EBIT…

SAP $241B

Hated Moats Jun 26

Duffy’s Last Dance

CME CEO Terry Duffy moves to executive chairman while suing the CFTC over Kalshi’s approval to list perpetual futures, defending CME’s…

CME $95B

Net Interest Jun 26

New Buy : Zoetis 🐕

Zoetis trades near 10x EV/EBIT after its selloff, with animal-health leadership, a $9.5 billion revenue base and companion-animal demand…

ZTS $29B

D Invests Jun 26

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $92B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 1 click

Intuit Investment Case Summary

Intuit’s investment case is condensed into a one-page company overview.

INTU $72B

Global Outperformers Jun 25

I Didn't Know Then. I Know Now. — ISRG & PME.AX

Intuitive Surgical and Pro Medicus are new medical-technology positions, with robotic-assisted surgery cited as cutting femur hospital…

ISRG $145B

Sleep Well Investments Jun 24

Cerebras June 2026 Earnings

Cerebras faces shareholder criticism over $700,000 to $850,000 WSE-3 rack pricing, alleged packaging-yield losses and SRAM-based KV-cache…

CBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Jun 24

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Convequity on X

Sheel Mohnot on X

Negligible Capital on X

PAA Research on X

Trevor Scott on X

Ian Bezek on X

Myles on X

Farmer on X

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