Friday, September 25, 2026

The Enron-Era Tricks Are Back in AI: How These Companies Are Hiding Their Debt | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman says AI companies are reviving Enron-era off-balance-sheet and circular financing, alongside concerns around Oracle and Blue Owl.

META $1.9TORCL $439B

Steve Eisman Sep 25 6 clicks

Sep 25 RDDT $29B

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Hated Moats 8 clicks

Sep 25 META $1.9T

The Agents Revolt

Net Interest 7 clicks

From X

@HaydenCapital Apr 2 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Going thru Circle's $CRCL S-1. First pass, it seems Coinbase $COIN is best levered to Circle's $CRCL growth. USDC avg circulation grew +9% y/y in 2024, revenues grew +16%, but profits went down -42%. Mainly because payments to $COIN grew +31%. More and more USDC is held on Coinbase's platform, on which they get a "distribution fee" (18% of total supply vs. 8% in 2023, and vs. Circle's 2%). (The Aug 2023 contract renegotiation helped too. Also assumes continued preference holding USDC on Coinbase's platform). https://t.co/yoWLFOJg3X

@HaydenCapital Mar 6 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Just learned many of Mixue's top lieutenants came from Oppo. $2097.HK 🤯 Another "BBK Mafia" company debuts at $10BN+ (alongside $PDD, J&T, Vivo & Oppo, etc). (Those curious can find background on Duan Yongping & BBK in our $PDD memo: https://t.co/pTZ8WlA2FM) https://t.co/AHEjhqu7nG

@rusholmecapital Mar 1 1 click

Rusholme Capital on X

I'm not finding much of interest in this market. Few notes to myself so that I can look back and see how wrong I was: - Software & semi are expensive, but always are. I'm watching $CDW which posted its first revenue growth in a long time - Not finding much of interest in healthcare. Medtech is ex-growth and expensive. Lot of names under pressure from Trump cost cutting - Valuations for financials have gotten stretched. I'm trimming some big winners here - High-ticket consumer goods are struggling, but travel remains strong. Seeing green shoots in Canadian housing. I'm careful with the Canadian cannabis renaissance - Canadian OFS is topping out and transport is getting killed. Several cheap packaging names, but no growth

@HaydenCapital Feb 28 3 clicks

Fred Liu on X

$APP just up'd its Share Repurchase authorization. Rare to see a positive 8K drop, on a Friday afternoon... was worried for a second😅 https://t.co/XKfTEFkf4d https://t.co/516mtR8Xnd

@catechwilliams Feb 28 5 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 5 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 2 clicks

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

RL $22BDIS $180B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 6 clicks

IonQ: Nvidia QPU Catalyst Isn't Enough

IonQ's Q2 2026 revenue rose 287% to $80.1 million, but durability hinges on its $485 million RPO and enterprise adoption for production AI…

IONQ $17B

Deep Value Investing Sep 25 2 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #15: Rocket Companies (RKT)

Rocket Companies combines Redfin, Rocket Mortgage and Mr. Cooper into an end-to-end homeownership platform, adding mortgage servicing fees…

RKT $33B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 25 7 clicks

Eckert & Ziegler: The Pick-and-Shovel Supplier of the Radiopharma Boom – Finally at a Fair Price

Eckert & Ziegler trades near €12, about 14 times expected earnings, as its isotope supply business expands with radiopharma demand despite…

NVS $268B

Substack von Philipp Sep 25 4 clicks

Buffett's Succession Plan Shows What Makes Berkshire Hathaway Unique

Berkshire Hathaway's succession elevates Greg Abel to CEO and Howard Buffett to chairman, reinforcing its acquisition, buyback and…

BRK.A $1.1T

Jim Sloan Sep 25 7 clicks

Ciena & Fabrinet: The Road Ahead for Optics

Ciena and Fabrinet benefit as AI clusters require high-speed optics within and between data centers, through networking systems and…

FN $16BCIEN $63B

Aurelion Research Sep 24 5 clicks

Oracle: Hyperscaler or Neocloud? A Look into Q1 FY2027

Oracle’s Q1 FY2027 AI infrastructure push relies on leasing, debt, customer prepayments and OpenAI’s Stargate project, resembling a…

ORCL $439B

Kakashii's Materials Sep 24 4 clicks

Honeywell: Post-Spin Growth Story Is Just Getting Started

Honeywell is refocusing on automation after its Aerospace and Advanced Materials spinoffs, with a 1.1x book-to-bill ratio, raised guidance…

HON $68B

Gen Alpha Sep 24 1 click

Capital Cycle IQ & the Forensic Files of the Big 5 Hyperscalers

Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Oracle have $3 trillion of commitments and are driving net investment to 2.07% of GDP, reviving…

MSFT $3.9TAMZN $2.7T

Cassandra Unchained Sep 24 6 clicks

Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success

Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.

FWONK $24B

Open Insights Sep 24 7 clicks

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

ASML $693BAMAT $430B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 24 5 clicks

Atlassian: A $140 Billion Market Growing At 14% Annually Creates A Massive Opportunity

Atlassian targets a $140 billion market growing 14% annually, with Rovo reaching 5 million monthly active users and assisted actions rising…

TEAM $49B

Muhammad Cheema Sep 24 1 click

[scuttleslops] AAPL, SHOP, Databricks, Lonza

Apple has ceded frontier AI to partners like Google while planning AI-native glasses, camera-equipped AirPods and a smart-home hub over the…

AAPL $4.9T

scuttleblurb Sep 24 9 clicks

AMD: AI Agents Give Its Memory Advantage A Much Bigger Market

AMD’s MI455X offers 432 GB of HBM4, 50% more memory than Nvidia’s Rubin, positioning it for memory-intensive enterprise AI agents.

AMD $1.1T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 24 4 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

MU $1.2TADI $203B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 5 clicks

MA · long

Mastercard

Mastercard trades near $495, about 18% below its $602 52-week high, framing a favorable long risk-reward case.

MA $495B

Value Investors Club Jun 25 2 clicks

CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)

CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…

CRWV $49B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 22 10 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

TXN $260BON $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 7 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

META $1.9T

Hunterbrook Sep 22 13 clicks

Reddit's Valuation Is A Compelling Opportunity: Upgrading To Strong Buy

Reddit’s subreddit-driven communities support targeted advertising, and its 0.3 PEG ratio makes RDDT undervalued, according to the upgrade…

RDDT $29B

Fountainhead Sep 22 5 clicks

Friday, September 25, 2026

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Rusholme Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

catechwilliams on X

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