Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Chris Camillo on X
@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.
Trevor Scott on X
@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4BSUSRF $251M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M8011 $231M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.6B
Southwest Airlines: Buy The Transformation Despite The Oil Shock
Southwest Airlines targets more than $2 billion of 2026 EBIT from assigned seating, extra legroom and bag fees despite higher fuel costs…
Dhierin Bechai 
Pacific Health Care Organization - OTC:PFHO
Pacific Health Care trades below its more than $1 per-share net cash despite profitable workers’ compensation claims services, California…
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
QNT: The 100× Question
Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…
Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility
Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…
Fernanda Galvez Jalil 
TOYO · short Toyo CO LTD
TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
WD #353: Colombia, Earnings (INTR, BRKR, TEAM)
Colombia’s Abelardo de la Espriella signals tax cuts and an Ecopetrol revival, while Inter & Co.
CBRS Update, WOLF/NVTS Lawsuit, HBF Spec Analysis, Aeva WTF, Taalas/AMD, AAOI, TSEM, uLED Jihad
Cerebras’s upcoming WSE 3.5 targets power delivery and clock speeds; the analysis argues parametric yield, not defect routing, is key to…
💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Hughes Satellite Systems Corporation💥
Hughes Satellite Systems, owned by EchoStar, and 11 affiliates filed Chapter 11 cases in the Southern District of Texas on August 2, 2026.
Genius Sports: Update Post Earnings
Genius Sports reported $195.5 million revenue, up 65%, and signed Kalshi for soccer data, expanding sports-data sales to prediction markets…
The Last Bidder
Aquarian won Brighthouse Financial despite a lower bid after higher offers failed to secure reinsurance for its legacy liabilities and thin…
2026 Q2 Earnings Updates: WeightWatchers, Shift4, Bumble
Bumble fell, Shift4 dropped 23% and WeightWatchers rose 18% after earnings, prompting added Shift4 exposure and a sharp WeightWatchers…
Weight Watchers: Update Post Earnings
WeightWatchers reaffirmed 2026 guidance after Q2 beats, while clinical revenue rose 30% and debt fell $42 million through discounted…
Noah Holdings ($NOAH): A Chinese Wealth Manager Trading at Its Cash Pile
Noah Holdings trades near the value of its RMB 5.1 billion cash and short-term investments, while earning recurring fees on roughly RMB 140…
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A Capital
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catechwilliams
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Clark Square Capital
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
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Myles
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SG
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Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
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Voss Capital
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
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- Ariel Investments
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- Pershing Square Holdings
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- Sequoia Fund
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Sectors
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