Sunday, September 20, 2026

Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO

Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.

MTN $5BGEO $3.9B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 20 7 clicks

Sep 20 WEN $1.3B

🍔New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Meritage Hospitality Group Inc.🍔

PETITION 1 click

Sep 20 BN $85B

Deep Dive: Brookfield Corporation

Capitalist Letters 2 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Sep 20 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.

@marginofdanger Sep 20 1 click

marginofdanger on X

Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.

@BillAckman Sep 20 1 click

Bill Ackman on X

An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP

@irbezek Sep 20 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.

@BarbarianCap Sep 20 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK

@ChrisCamillo Sep 19

Chris Camillo on X

@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.

@TidefallCapital Sep 19 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.

@majgeoinvesting Sep 19 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

Was a good week for $MTW (cranes), up 10% this week. @mascarosergi recently pitched the stock in his written Q&A style Skull Sessions. Their increasing emphasis on service revenue is interesting, something a lot of construction type companies have been doing over the past few years. It’s the “magic formula” for construction companies, which can result in a huge expansion of historical valuation ratios. You’ve seen that in stocks like $STRL and $BDT.TO. The cool thing about this kind of set up is that a lot of investors won’t believe there will be a valuation re-rate in a cyclical industry, until it’s actually happened… then they’ll say it’s overvalued🤷 Watching closely. Thx Sergi..

Southwest Airlines: Buy The Transformation Despite The Oil Shock

Southwest Airlines targets more than $2 billion of 2026 EBIT from assigned seating, extra legroom and bag fees despite higher fuel costs…

LUV $20B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 20

Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?

GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Sep 19 1 click

Brookfield of Dreams

Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…

BN $85B

Net Interest Sep 19

Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop

Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…

KRMN $4.7B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 19 1 click

Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.

FICO $21B

Steve Eisman Sep 18 2 clicks

$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest

Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…

NTDOY $62B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 18 1 click

Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents

DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 18 1 click

QNT: The 100× Question

Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…

QNT $2.1B

Mispriced Assets Sep 18 3 clicks

Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility

Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…

GNRC $12B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Sep 18

Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)

Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…

GRAB $11B

Rebound Capital Sep 18 1 click

FRMI · long

Fermi INC

Fermi Inc. is presented as a time-sensitive long special situation.

FRMI $3.2B

Value Investors Club Jun 10

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

Private Equity is coming for Software (NOTW#104)

Silver Lake’s reported talks to buy Workday briefly lifted software stocks, reviving hopes that private equity sees value in beaten-down…

WDAY $47B

Best Anchor Stocks Aug 15

If Everybody Knows It's a Bargain, Where's the Alpha?; Company Updates

Large active managers cluster in Visa, Mastercard, S&P Global, FICO, Alphabet, Meta and Berkshire, challenging alpha in widely owned…

FERG $41BGRMN $54B

Flyover Stocks Aug 15 1 click

ZhongAn Online (6060.HK): The Insurtech Everyone Gave Up On

ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…

ZZHGF $2.2B

Substack von Philipp Aug 15

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

The AI Compute Squeeze

CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…

CRWV $47BNBIS $59B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 14 8 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Q2'26 - Execution wobble, Forecast question mark

Cellebrite cut 2026 ARR guidance by $15 million, replaced its CEO and saw shares fall 30% as elongated sales cycles raise execution…

CLBT $2.9B

Sleep Well Investments Aug 14

Update on NRP, Variable Dividends, Buybacks and Soda Ash

NRP has retired debt and preferred stock, leaving 13 million acres of mineral rights to fund higher cash distributions, buybacks and soda…

NRP $1.4B

Base Hit Investing Aug 14

Coherent Q4 FY26 Earnings

Coherent’s Q4 FY26 results prompt claims that poor 6-inch InP laser yields are limiting margins versus Lumentum in co-packaged optics.

COHR $62BLITE $84B

Irrational Analysis Aug 14

Sunday, September 20, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

marginofdanger on X

Bill Ackman on X

Ian Bezek on X

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Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

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