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Saturday, September 19, 2026

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@KEDM_COM 1 click

KEDM.com on X

Right Tail @JeremyKokemor bought $HCA at about 12x earnings on a local-density argument: hospitals compete neighborhood by neighborhood, and HCA holds #1 or #2 share — averaging 25-30% of each market in about 80% of its markets, primarily in Sunbelt states. Outpatient access points — 14 per hospital, heading toward 20 — feed the hospitals, and about 75% of admissions arrive through the ER. Margins held in the high teens through 2009, and half the shares have been retired since the 2011 re-IPO. Historically, HCA has compounded revenue at roughly 7% annually and EPS closer to 17%; Right Tail models mid-single-digit revenue growth and 10-15% EPS growth.
@Fierce__beast 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

Here's the J-curve stock shape -- many examples of software stocks and high growth stocks, sometimes even large mature companies that release a new product. $MPWR was shaping up for this in November 2024 (I wrote about this and went long) when it dropped a lot after they "lost $NVDA" marketshare, but of course their custom AI accelerator business was growing something like 100% a year, and it was only a matter of time before it showed up in the earnings. It subsequently re-rated after troughing at 35x and had significant earnings growth. Today it goes for 35x again. Will there be another big bump in a few years, maybe robotics?

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Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents

DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…

DASH $84B
MBI Deep Dives 1 click

QNT: The 100× Question

Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…

QNT $2.1B
Mispriced Assets 3 clicks

Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)

Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…

GRAB $11B
Rebound Capital 1 click

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $27B
Speedwell Memos 3 clicks
EFXT · long

Enerflex LTD

Enerflex, a $3 billion natural gas infrastructure and equipment company, blends contracted energy-services cash flows with equipment…

EFXT $2.8B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold's McIntosh drilling found 0.23 g/t gold over 65.5m, 370m southwest of the existing resource, and extended mineralization 86m…

KGC $34B
Atrium Research - Equity Research 2 clicks

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