Thursday, September 17, 2026

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture, spanning an incumbent leader, a speculative…

STM $47BNVTS $2.9B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 1 click

Sep 17 JXN $8.8B

Problems at Jackson Financial ($JXN)

Hunterbrook 1 click

Sep 17 CPRT $27B

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 8

Lee Roach on X

Comcast $CMCSA looks dirt cheap. I see a much higher valuation on sum of the parts. Everyone hates “dying” media companies. But there’s always one last puff, and I swear to god, I’ve been smoking roaches since the dawn of time. Also these guys own some of the greatest traditional media assets in the world. Tell me why I’m wrong. And don’t go blah blah blah about a catalyst.

@ACapitalLP Sep 8

A Capital on X

$FDXF - JPM initiates w/ $160 PT (9/8/26) https://t.co/A3ZD36IAcF

@kab604 Sep 8

kab60 on X

In other auto dealership news, $LAD slowed down repurchases bigtime in Q3 after stock rallied post Q2 results. Lithia bought back ~7.5% of shares in H1, just ~0.5% QTD in Q3. Instead buying a Hyundai store in DFW.

@kab604 Sep 8

kab60 on X

Seaport upgrades $ABG on 'earnings inflection' (bought back 7% of shares in H1, mngmt seems to agree on future prospects/cheap valuation). Autotrader $AUTO.L upgraded by Jefferies as it's apparently an AI winner now (duh).

@P_Remarks Sep 7 1 click

Prepared Remarks on X

$orcl https://t.co/HOAjwCSFxD

@leevalueroach Sep 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

I think I’ll do a deep dive on $FICO. I get they lost their monopoly by neop baby Bill Pulte but Jeeze this is low. https://t.co/g43xw6Lu1c

@convequity Sep 7

Convequity on X

Kirin 9050 Pro is the first Tau Scaling chip. The bigger story is Ascend. Huawei just put LogicFolding in the Mate XT 2. First commercial SoC on the Tau (τ) law He Tingbo laid out in May / updated in July. Not a surprise if you read that paper. Still a real jump: DUV + SAQP + logic stacking took density from 155 → 238 MTr/mm² on the same SMIC N+3 node. +55% in one gen. Power went down, not up. That’s N3-class equivalent density. Headline number matches Intel 18A HD (238) and sits next to Samsung SF2 (~231). TSMC N2 HD is still ahead (~313). Caveat: 238 is Huawei’s LogicFolding equivalent, not a planar N3 shrink. Same device node as 9030 Pro. Some analysts put the industry-formula read closer to ~175. Mobile scoreboard vs last-gen trifold / 9030 Pro: • Device +42% • CPU ST +24% / MT +52% • P-core 3.1 GHz (was 2.75) • CPU / GPU / NPU iso-perf power −41% / −58% / −66% • GPU render +142% • On-device 30B-total-param MoE Multi-core still trails $QCOM’s latest. The gap is no longer multi-generation. Next Tau Kirin can catch, maybe pass, a leading-edge mobile SoC. The packaging tell is sharper than the phone benches. 1.4–1.5μm hybrid-bond pitch. ~50M vertical interconnects. Western HVM hybrid bonding is still ~6μm (TSMC SoIC) to ~9μm (Intel Foveros Direct). If 1.4μm holds, that is SOTA vs Western leading-edge bonding — not the Geekbench print. Phone catch-up is the demo. AI silicon is the payoff. Apply the same fold to Ascend and the process-density gap vs $NVDA peers compresses from the lithography side over the next few quarters. Remaining bottlenecks: domestic DUV tool volume, HBM, packaging, software. I wouldn’t assume they outproduce ASML on DUV. I also wouldn’t fade the direction. Mature DUV + stacking + almost-unlimited power is enough to put China in the token-factory fight vs the US. Tables below. 🧵

@leevalueroach Sep 7

Lee Roach on X

Growth investors who bought Nike $NKE at a 0.05% free cash flow yield at the peak. https://t.co/onptAiCXtu

Vizsla Silver (VZLA)

Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…

VZLA $2B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 17 1 click

DiamondRock Hospitality Company: Still A Buy, Though Not As Cheap

DiamondRock Hospitality raised 2026 guidance after Q2 RevPAR rose 7%, AFFO climbed 25.7% to $0.44 a share, and net debt to EBITDA reached…

DRH $2.5B

Philip Wang Sep 17

Figure Technology (FIGR): The "Hypoport of America" Growing 100% With 55% EBITDA Margins – and Priced Like the Story Is Broken

Figure Technology's HELOC platform grew Q2 2026 revenue 113% with a 54.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, while shares trade 57% below January's…

FIGR $8.1B

Substack von Philipp Sep 17 2 clicks

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold's McIntosh drilling found 0.23 g/t gold over 65.5m, 370m southwest of the existing resource, and extended mineralization 86m…

KGC $34B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 16 2 clicks

Kodiak Sciences: Daybreak Needs To Deliver More Than A Passing Grade

Kodiak Sciences expects Phase 3 DAYBREAK results for Zenkuda and KSI-501 in wet AMD, with durability and vision outcomes key beyond…

KOD $2.1B

Sam Mancini Sep 16

Brad Jacobs and the QXO Thesis

QXO applies Brad Jacobs’s consolidation playbook to fragmented building materials, anchored by its TopBuild acquisition and a strategy of…

QXO $12BXPO $21B

Bearstone Sep 16

Forget Drones: Ondas Is Building An Autonomous Warfare Ecosystem

Ondas Holdings, ONDS, grew Q2 2026 revenue 1,235% to $83.7 million after acquisitions and is integrating drone and autonomous warfare…

ONDS $4.5B

Analysis Fundamental Sep 16 1 click

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…

LIFE $2.3B

Hunterbrook Sep 15 4 clicks

GLP-1 winners and losers

GLP-1 drugs are gaining traction across Asia as Chinese developers advance candidates and Indian generics slash prices, reshaping prospects…

NVO $175B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 14

EFXT · long

Enerflex LTD

Enerflex, a $3 billion natural gas infrastructure and equipment company, blends contracted energy-services cash flows with equipment…

EFXT $2.8B

Value Investors Club Jun 19 2 clicks

Artisan Partners Asset Management: 10% Yield Is Attractive

Artisan Partners, APAM, pairs a 10% yield with 9% revenue and AUM growth, though a pending $6 billion global value outflow threatens fee…

APAM $2.6B

Sorrento Research Sep 16

No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot

Medtronic’s MiniMed split-off gives odd-lot MDT holders priority on a 7% discounted exchange, but a 4.5939-share cap has begun reducing the…

MDT $119BMMED $5.9B

Rod’s Ruminations Sep 14 4 clicks

Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Sep 14 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition

Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…

DE $187BCPRT $27B

scuttleblurb Sep 14 1 click

Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026

Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…

JOBY $6.2BAMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) - Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record CDS Spreads, $88B Net Debt, And The OpenAI Question

Oracle’s $88.3 billion net debt and $90-95 billion capex plan pushed five-year CDS to 215 bps, despite 121% OCI growth and a $664 billion…

ORCL $446B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

MKS Instruments: Penang Expansion Boosts WFE Outlook Despite Margin Pressure

MKS Instruments posted $1.25 billion in Q2 revenue and is expanding Penang capacity for a $200 billion to $250 billion wafer-fab-equipment…

MKSI $16B

The Straits Strategist Sep 14

Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Research Sep 14 1 click

Enel Chile S.A.: Cheap, Profitable, And Operating In Chile's Next Great Energy Revolution

Enel Chile uses battery storage and grid management to turn renewable oversupply into flexibility, lifting H1 2026 EBITDA 3.9% and net…

ENIC $5.9B

Ryan Canady Sep 14 4 clicks

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

kab60 on X

kab60 on X

Prepared Remarks on X

Lee Roach on X

Convequity on X

Lee Roach on X

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