Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite international growth.

CPRT $27BACVA $1.8B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

Sep 15 LIFE $2.3B

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Hunterbrook 4 clicks

Sep 14 NVDA $5.4T

The Big Short Partners Reunite: Rates, AI, Gold and Two Stock Picks | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 75

Steve Eisman 5 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16 3 clicks

BDC on X

Idk it not worth nothing. Snap whole market cap $9b and yet we apparently paying trillions for commoditized “frontier” LLMs that are political nightmares with major leadership questions. $snap is cheap. Specs will get a minority investor. Snap snap can do $1 in FCF / share next year. Consensus is always wrong at these moments.

@irbezek Sep 16 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@dede_eyesan I'm sure $CAAP would bid as well if there is an open process. Ultimately would imagine government is just going to sell to Brookfield though.

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16 2 clicks

BDC on X

Maybe this earlier post is hyperbolic. But Specs potential is real and the applications are very real and the implied value to $snap is negative. Btw go back and look at all my snap tweets - been as big a bear as any of you. But the worm is turning. Sub business 85% yy $1b+ rr and ads stable and 16% HC reduction to cut $500mn opex and SBC offset by buyback. So there’s a lot to like here and if specs can get a minority investor which i think is much more likely after today then game on. Oh and by the way snap could still cut opex by 50% just to get in line with $rddt on cost/employee.

@finphysnerd Sep 16

Myles on X

Bought some $AMZN 2029 calls.

@TidefallCapital Sep 16

Trevor Scott on X

These $SNAP glasses could cure cancer and still wouldn't sell. ($2,195) https://t.co/3S183d3W44

@DeepSailCapital Sep 16

Deep Sail Capital on X

$JMKE Getting some shade from Stavros https://t.co/n0Fd9n41rb

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Specs might be the only tech in the world that could fully replace your phone and your life would be better. What's that worth? $snap

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Learning applications for Specs are going to insane. Forget tablets or laptops. Every school in America should give their kids some Specs. $snap

Investor Letters

All letters

Rubrik: Plenty Of Steam In This Rally As AI Security Concerns Grow

Rubrik's Q2 results and AI-driven cybersecurity demand have lifted RBRK nearly twofold from its year-to-date low, alongside a larger 2029…

RBRK $22B

Gary Alexander Sep 14 2 clicks

No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot

Medtronic’s MiniMed split-off gives odd-lot MDT holders priority on a 7% discounted exchange, but a 4.5939-share cap has begun reducing the…

MDT $116BMMED $5.9B

Rod’s Ruminations Sep 14 4 clicks

Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy

Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…

DUAVF $26B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 14 1 click

Meta’s Trojan Horse for the Consumer Internet

Meta’s Muse strategy targets the consumer internet through a Trojan-horse product.

META $1.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 14 1 click

Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Sep 14 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition

Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…

AMZN $2.8TDE $187B

scuttleblurb Sep 14 1 click

Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026

Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…

JOBY $6.4BAMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) - Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record CDS Spreads, $88B Net Debt, And The OpenAI Question

Oracle’s $88.3 billion net debt and $90-95 billion capex plan pushed five-year CDS to 215 bps, despite 121% OCI growth and a $664 billion…

ORCL $437B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

MKS Instruments: Penang Expansion Boosts WFE Outlook Despite Margin Pressure

MKS Instruments posted $1.25 billion in Q2 revenue and is expanding Penang capacity for a $200 billion to $250 billion wafer-fab-equipment…

MKSI $17B

The Straits Strategist Sep 14

Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Research Sep 14 1 click

GENI · long

Genius Sports LTD

Genius Sports, a sports data and adtech provider, is pitched as a re-rating opportunity obscured by acquisition noise.

GENI $1.6B

Value Investors Club May 26 1 click

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

RMD $32B

Bearhold Research Apr 8 1 click

Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026

Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.

BMBL $376MOSCR $9.5B

Modern Value Investing Apr 8

Single Stock Spotlight #6: Huntsman (HUN)

Huntsman’s $800-$900 million mid-cycle EBITDA and 8-10x historical EV/EBITDA imply $30-$40 per share, versus roughly $13, after a chemicals…

HUN $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Apr 8

Updates: Judges Scientific, Jet2, XPEL (JDG, JET2, XPEL)

Judges Scientific reported 6% organic revenue growth, but US sales fell 22%; NIH funding release and a Geotek coring expedition are its key…

XPEL $1.3B

Hidden Gems Investing Apr 7 1 click

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $54B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $5.1B

Maius Partners Apr 2 7 clicks

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $54BCRWD $256B

First Strike Research Apr 1

AI turned my Report into a Video

Google’s NotebookLM turned a 30-page Douglas Dynamics report into an 8-minute video, while Custom GPTs screen earnings transcripts for…

PLOW $921M

Hidden Gems Investing Apr 1

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

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