Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite international growth.

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

Sep 15 LIFE $2.3B

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Hunterbrook 4 clicks

Sep 14 MDT $116B

No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot

Rod’s Ruminations 4 clicks

From X

@evantindell Aug 3

Evan Tindell on X

Finally got a chance to go through the $UMG earnings... Obviously, a disappointment on revenue growth and margins, which saw the stock drop like 20%. Subscription revenue was 6.7% organically, and the street was looking for >9%. So, a big miss. Still, I think things should improve. Apple, Spotify, Amazon, and YouTube music have all raised prices this year, and a portion of that will go to UMG. CFO Matt Ellis said on the call that these prices and "better market share to start the third quarter" make them "cautiously optimistic" (really sticking his neck out there!!) that growth will improve in H2 of 2026. Interestingly, Warner Music $WMG managed to grow revenue 12% in CC and adjusted OIBDA by 24%, so clearly this is a UMG-only problem, at least for this quarter. $UMG trades at 14x earnings on a NTM basis now... this seems pretty reasonable if not downright cheap for a company that has grown EBIT from EUR 1b in 2019 to around 2b today (11% organic EBITDA CAGR). We own this through Bollore, which currently has an NAV of just above 11 EUR by my calculation vs a last price of under 4 EUR. Notably, JPM thinks new AI tiers in Spotify and Apple Music will drive ARPU growth of 300 bps per year. Their price target was 48 EUR prior to the recent earnings release...

@irbezek Aug 3

Ian Bezek on X

Brazilian election. Who wins, and what's your view on $EWZ?

@TheBenSchmark Aug 2 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Semrush found that Reddit citations collapsed in ChatGPT through 2025. And in AI responses in general. Different reasons have been proffered, but I for one am glad SEO spam and human-generated nonsense is being weighted less $RDDT https://t.co/J1qIjVsvlO

@orrdavid Aug 1 4 clicks

David Orr on X

@FixedIncQuant @nickgiva1 $IBIT has a $46 billion AUM.

@RagingVentures Aug 1

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Any fundamental views on $RH here? I’ve been recently trying on the short as a trade into the $180 level with some success, feels like it has squeezed higher due to de-grossing/de-leveraging. Other building names are very weak with 10-year testing 5%.

@RagingVentures Aug 1 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Sold my $BILL on this 50%+ run off the lows, and continue to actively trade around core $HUBS and $WDAY positions by regularly writing calls or shorting puts (and sometimes boxing my longs). The volatility has been insane. Sold $ESTC for now. Also, I’m now short a small amount of $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM, $CXM and $YEXT into July’s de-grossing/de-leveraging squeeze.

@RagingVentures Aug 1 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Another ugly quarter at $MO. Still struggling to gain traction in the all-important new smokeless markets, while Marlboro bleeds market share and overall smoking volumes continue to collapse. This has been a good trading short with all of the funky rotation and factor moves. https://t.co/SK4WwXsiiZ

@RagingVentures Aug 1

Raging Capital Ventures on X

OpenAI “ARR” apparently run rating at $60 b, and (for the most part) they haven’t yet monetized their 1 billion weekly consumer actives. Bullish $ORCL. https://t.co/pBDIrTTAqV

Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy

Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…

DUAVF $26B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 14 1 click

Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Sep 14 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition

Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…

DE $187BCPRT $27B

scuttleblurb Sep 14 1 click

Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026

Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…

JOBY $6.4BAMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) - Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record CDS Spreads, $88B Net Debt, And The OpenAI Question

Oracle’s $88.3 billion net debt and $90-95 billion capex plan pushed five-year CDS to 215 bps, despite 121% OCI growth and a $664 billion…

ORCL $437B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

MKS Instruments: Penang Expansion Boosts WFE Outlook Despite Margin Pressure

MKS Instruments posted $1.25 billion in Q2 revenue and is expanding Penang capacity for a $200 billion to $250 billion wafer-fab-equipment…

MKSI $17B

The Straits Strategist Sep 14

Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Research Sep 14 1 click

Enel Chile S.A.: Cheap, Profitable, And Operating In Chile's Next Great Energy Revolution

Enel Chile uses battery storage and grid management to turn renewable oversupply into flexibility, lifting H1 2026 EBITDA 3.9% and net…

ENIC $6.1B

Ryan Canady Sep 14 4 clicks

Alarm.com: False Alarm?

Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…

ALRM $2.6B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 14 1 click

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Booking Holdings trades at 19x earnings, its lowest since 2022, after a 20% annual decline, with the thesis resting on durable online…

BKNG $117B

Capitalist Letters Sep 13 4 clicks

GTLB · long

Gitlab INC

GTLB $8.2B

Value Investors Club Jun 18

Undercovered Dozen: Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo, Rigetti And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo and Rigetti.

ARCC $14BGRAB $13B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 15

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…

SVM $2.5B

The Oak Bloke Sep 13 3 clicks

Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead

Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…

NTDOY $61B

LL Insights Sep 13

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…

ORCL $437B

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Chevron: $100 Oil Price Can Last Longer Than You Think

Chevron’s 2027 EPS could be underestimated by about $4.50 per share if U.S.-Iran conflict keeps oil near $100 rather than forecast $74 to…

CVX $403B

Envision Research Sep 11 1 click

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $73B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Evan Tindell on X

Ian Bezek on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

David Orr on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

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