Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.
Sunday, September 13, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Trevor Scott on X
It's a decade long race to the bottom $QQQ FCF yield https://t.co/5CtAH61ylK
KEDM.com on X
Phoenician Capital is bullish on Halozyme Therapeutics $HALO. This company strongly focuses on licensing – and is doing that exceptionally well. Worth looking into. https://t.co/AD8KGejKA4
Deep Sail Capital on X
Interesting take on $FTAI and the securitisation of jet engines for use in AI datacenters. https://t.co/x17VtGdXLt
mavix on X
I just published the Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG H1 2026 results. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/8oHEkLEiea
PAA Research on X
It’s the same picture: time to get SHORT $CASY and $MUSA https://t.co/EFTszhSvv9
Maj Soueidan on X
Watching $MG closely. They had a decent year last year and given 2027/28 growth expectations, the valuation is reasonable. But things going on might offer upside surprise - either from growth initiatives or an expansion in valuation from reducing leverage.. https://t.co/w1tD7YPu2b
KEDM.com on X
Ace River Capital @AceRiverCapital has high conviction in Vox Royalty $VOXR, a precious-metals royalty company with over 70 companies in its portfolio. VOXR is now the largest holding in both his personal portfolio and the fund's. VOXR is an old KEDM Lite flag. https://t.co/Nhi14DHSI7
Ian Bezek on X
Corporacion America Airports $CAAP announces a 91 cent dividend, nearly a 4% yield on today's stock price, and 40% yield-on-cost for people that bought in 2020. The top complaint about CAAP had been it didn't pay a dividend, so that it is now resolved. ✈️
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $487B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M9301 $3.3B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead
Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…
LL Insights 
AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap
Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…
USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange
USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…
Ron Ferrie 3 clicks
Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…
Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound
Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…
The Five Deals That Made Apollo
Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside
Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…
NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy
NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…
Stephen Nemo 
HNRG · long Hallador Energy CO
Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.
Keurig Dr Pepper: Beverage Momentum And JDE Peet's Synergies Support A Buy
Keurig Dr Pepper’s U.S. beverage growth and JDE Peet’s acquisition support earnings growth as coffee-cost and tariff pressures ease.
Value Capital Research 1 click
Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags
Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.
One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale
AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.
Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private
Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…
The Williams Companies: A Tough Competitor Tackles The Northeast
Williams Companies faces a revoked Northeast pipeline permit while pursuing growth through Momentum Midstream, Gulf export access and…
Long Player 
Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.
Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.
Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…
BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise
BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…
Atticus Analysis 
TransDigm is still in it for the money
TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…
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X accounts we follow
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A Capital
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Clark Square Capital
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
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Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
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Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
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SG
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Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
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Voss Capital
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Baron Funds
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- Biglari Holdings
- Bireme Capital
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- Cedar Creek Partners
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- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- Donville Kent Asset Management Inc.
- FPA Crescent Fund
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- Fred Alger Management, LLC
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- Greenhaven Road Capital
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- Invenomic Capital Management
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Pershing Square Holdings
- Polaris Capital Management
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- RGA Investment Advisors
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- Royce Investment Partners
- Sequoia Fund
- Southeastern Asset Management
- Third Avenue Management
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- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
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Sectors
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